AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls gather momentum, consolidation ongoing

Source Fxstreet
  • Daily chart indicators suggest a positive incline; RSI climbs up.
  • Hourly chart indicators flatten out in positive territory, indicating consolidation after recent gains.
  • The pair is seeing signs of bullish exhaustion after recent gains, with eyes set on support around the 103.60-103.80 area.

In Friday's trading session, the AUD/JPY pair soared to the 104.50 region owing to positive momentum, reinforcing expectations of an overall bullish landscape. However, the market's upward trajectory is showing signs of fatigue, and the pair has entered in a consolidation phase.

As per the daily chart, the RSI has ascended near to the 70 region, presenting a slight recovery from Wednesday's drop to 67, suggesting a potential halt to the previous downtrend. Corresponding with this, the MACD prints flat red bars, indicating a possible pause in the market's selling traction.

AUD/JPY daily chart

Confirming these dynamics is the hourly chart. The RSI and MACD are greener and have flattened, indicating a potential period of consolidation following the recent rally.

AUD/JPY hourly chart

In retrospect to the session on Thursday, sellers were repelled at the 20-day SMA mark of 103.60 and again on Friday at 103.80. These developments have set a formidable support base around that region, which appears could be leveraged to stabilize the recent gains. Any downturn below the 20-day SMA may risk undermining the short-term bullish atmosphere.

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 104.5
Today Daily Change 0.48
Today Daily Change % 0.46
Today daily open 104.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 103.44
Daily SMA50 101.33
Daily SMA100 99.48
Daily SMA200 97.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 104.26
Previous Daily Low 103.36
Previous Weekly High 104.56
Previous Weekly Low 103.48
Previous Monthly High 105.04
Previous Monthly Low 97.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 103.7
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 103.91
Daily Pivot Point S1 103.5
Daily Pivot Point S2 102.98
Daily Pivot Point S3 102.6
Daily Pivot Point R1 104.4
Daily Pivot Point R2 104.77
Daily Pivot Point R3 105.29

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Oil’s Return to $110 Boosts Fed Hike Expectations, Pressuring Gold for Fourth Day Toward $4,100On October 21, gold prices continued their adjustment, with gold (XAUUSD) dropping intraday to as low as $4,106, nearing the $4,100 mark and marking its fourth consecutive trading day of
Author  TradingKey
13 hours ago
On October 21, gold prices continued their adjustment, with gold (XAUUSD) dropping intraday to as low as $4,106, nearing the $4,100 mark and marking its fourth consecutive trading day of
placeholder
Housing starts fell to the second-lowest since the pandemic shutdown — with the 10-year at 5.12%, who is left to buy?US housing starts dropped 5.2% to 1.221 million in September, the second-lowest pace since the 2020 pandemic shutdown, and building permits hit a three-and-a-half-year low of 1.400 million. Both figures are worse than they look because July and August were revised up. With the 10-year Treasury at 5.117% — only 19bp below its October 5 peak of 5.311% — and the NAHB builder confidence index at 2012 levels, here are the three numbers, the transmission chain from rates to permits, and the two scenarios into the October 28 FOMC.
Author  Irene Q.
15 hours ago
US housing starts dropped 5.2% to 1.221 million in September, the second-lowest pace since the 2020 pandemic shutdown, and building permits hit a three-and-a-half-year low of 1.400 million. Both figures are worse than they look because July and August were revised up. With the 10-year Treasury at 5.117% — only 19bp below its October 5 peak of 5.311% — and the NAHB builder confidence index at 2012 levels, here are the three numbers, the transmission chain from rates to permits, and the two scenarios into the October 28 FOMC.
placeholder
The Dow gained 500 points and the two AI names that matter fell after hours — Netflix's guide is the tellThe Dow closed 529.85 points higher at 52,495.88 (+1.02%) and the VIX fell 6.13% to 17.31, but the two stocks that carry the AI trade moved the other way after Tuesday's close: Netflix slipped to $64.74 (-5.8%) after guiding Q4 EPS of $0.67, below the street, while SpaceX jumped about 8% to near $160 on its first profit as a public company and revenue up 161%. Netflix is now below its 52-week low of $65.08. Here are the numbers, the $65 / $70 levels and the two catalysts that matter this week.
Author  Irene Q.
16 hours ago
The Dow closed 529.85 points higher at 52,495.88 (+1.02%) and the VIX fell 6.13% to 17.31, but the two stocks that carry the AI trade moved the other way after Tuesday's close: Netflix slipped to $64.74 (-5.8%) after guiding Q4 EPS of $0.67, below the street, while SpaceX jumped about 8% to near $160 on its first profit as a public company and revenue up 161%. Netflix is now below its 52-week low of $65.08. Here are the numbers, the $65 / $70 levels and the two catalysts that matter this week.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 21, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 21, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
19 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 21, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Australian Dollar trades near monthly high, above 0.7000 as hawkish RBA offsets USD uptickThe AUD/USD pair trades with a positive bias for the fourth straight day, holding steady above the 0.7000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Wednesday and flirting with the monthly high it touched the previous day.
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
The AUD/USD pair trades with a positive bias for the fourth straight day, holding steady above the 0.7000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Wednesday and flirting with the monthly high it touched the previous day.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote