Forex Today: Major currency pairs stay in familiar ranges, eyes on German inflation

Source Fxstreet

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, May 29:

Major currency pairs are having a difficult time finding direction in the first half of the week. Following Tuesday's modest rebound, the US Dollar (USD) Index hold steady slightly above 104.50. Later in the day, Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from Germany will be watched closely by market participants. During the American trading hours, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will release its Beige Book.

The upbeat consumer sentiment data from the US, combined with a nearly 2% increase seen in the 10-year US Treasury bond yield, helped the USD stay resilient against its rivals on Tuesday. Early Wednesday, the 10-year US yield holds steady above 4.5%. Meanwhile, US stock index futures trade in negative territory after Wall Street's main indexes registered small gains on Tuesday.

US Dollar PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this week. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.08% -0.24% 0.05% -0.09% -0.43% -0.43% -0.27%
EUR 0.08%   -0.19% 0.17% -0.01% -0.42% -0.44% -0.16%
GBP 0.24% 0.19%   0.30% 0.15% -0.23% -0.19% 0.01%
JPY -0.05% -0.17% -0.30%   -0.18% -0.50% -0.41% -0.34%
CAD 0.09% 0.00% -0.15% 0.18%   -0.37% -0.34% -0.23%
AUD 0.43% 0.42% 0.23% 0.50% 0.37%   0.06% 0.21%
NZD 0.43% 0.44% 0.19% 0.41% 0.34% -0.06%   0.16%
CHF 0.27% 0.16% -0.01% 0.34% 0.23% -0.21% -0.16%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

During the Asian session, the data from Australia showed that the CPI rose 3.6% on a monthly basis in April. This reading followed the 3.5% increase recorded in March and came in above the market expectation of 3.4%. Other data from Australia showed that the ANZ Business Confidence Index declined to 11.2 in May from 14.9. AUD/USD edged slightly higher following the data releases and was last seen trading above 0.6650.

Australian Dollar consolidates after robust Monthly inflation, US Dollar remains firm.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Seiji Adachi said early Wednesday that they are not yet at a stage where they are convinced there is a sustained achievement of price target, adding that they must maintain accommodative conditions. USD/JPY showed no reaction to these remarks and was last seen trading sideways at around 157.00.

Japanese Yen recovers early losses after BoJ Adachi favors to reduce bond-buying.

After rising toward 1.0900 during the European trading hours, EUR/USD lost its traction and declined toward 1.0850, closing virtually unchanged on Tuesday. The pair stays relatively quiet early Wednesday near Tuesday's closing level.

GBP/USD touched its highest level in over a month above 1.2800 on Tuesday but erased its gains to end the day flat above 1.2750. The pair trades marginally higher on the day at around 1.2770 in the European morning.

Gold posted gains for the third consecutive day on Tuesday. Nevertheless, the recovery seen in the US yields capped XAU/USD's upside and caused it to retreat toward $2,350.

Economic Indicator

Fed's Beige Book

The Beige Book reports on the current US economic situation. Through interviews with key business contacts, economists, market experts, and other sources are gathered by each of the 12 Federal Reserve Districts. The survey gives a picture of the overall US economic growth. An optimistic view of those authorities is considered as positive, or bullish for the USD, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative, or bearish for the Dollar.

Read more.

Last release: Wed Apr 17, 2024 18:00

Frequency: Irregular

Actual: -

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Federal Reserve

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $63.50 amid Fed hike bets, higher oil pricesSilver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
Author  FXStreet
10 hours ago
Silver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
13 hours ago
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
14 hours ago
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
TradingKey Daily Market Briefing: CPI Data Boosts Rate Hike Expectations, Geopolitical Risks Spark Oil Price SurgeTracking Market TrendsTradingKey - The three major U.S. stock indices rose across the board last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.98%, the Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 0.96%, a
Author  TradingKey
20 hours ago
Tracking Market TrendsTradingKey - The three major U.S. stock indices rose across the board last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.98%, the Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 0.96%, a
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: PPI and Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Concerns, Can CPI Change Gold's Direction?As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Author  TradingKey
Sep 11, Fri
As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
goTop
quote