USD/JPY approaching 157.40 amidst broad Yen weakness

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY climbed on Wednesday as JPY continues to sell off.
  • Yen traders looking ahead to Tokyo CPI inflation on Friday.
  • US GDP, PCE inflation key data this week for rate-cut hopefuls.

USD/JPY drifted into the high end on Tuesday, testing towards 157.40 as broad-market weakness in the Japanese Yen (JPY) sends Yen pairs broadly higher. Japanese Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation remains a key print for Yen traders this week, with US growth and inflation figures a high-impact release for investors looking for signs of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Yen traders will be looking ahead to Friday’s Japanes Tokyo CPI inflation, and Core Tokyo CPI inflation is broadly expected to climb to 1.9% from 1.6%. The Bank of Japan (BoJ), concerned about a return to sub-target inflation, has steadfastly avoided raising interest rates, keeping the Yen’s rate differential with other major central banks much higher than before, sending the JPY even lower despite possible “Yenterventions” in recent weeks.

US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index inflation, due on Thursday and Friday, respectively, are key prints this week as investors continue to look for signs of Fed rate cuts. US Annualized Q1 GDP is expected to ease to 1.3% from the previous 1.6%, while Core PCE Price Index inflation is forecast to hold steady at 0.3% MoM. 

 

USD/JPY technical outlook

USD/JPY continues to drift into the top end, approaching the 158.00 handle after closing in the green for all but four of the last 17 consecutive trading days. Bullish pressure is keeping the pair pinned deep in bull country, trading firmly on the north side of the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 148.89.

USD/JPY daily chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 157.34
Today Daily Change 0.16
Today Daily Change % 0.10
Today daily open 157.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 155.63
Daily SMA50 154.22
Daily SMA100 151.43
Daily SMA200 149.41
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 157.2
Previous Daily Low 156.58
Previous Weekly High 157.2
Previous Weekly Low 155.5
Previous Monthly High 160.32
Previous Monthly Low 150.81
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 156.96
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 156.82
Daily Pivot Point S1 156.77
Daily Pivot Point S2 156.37
Daily Pivot Point S3 156.16
Daily Pivot Point R1 157.39
Daily Pivot Point R2 157.6
Daily Pivot Point R3 158.01

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Strong profits, falling shares: bank earnings day one meets a memory-chip rout — with CPI and ASML aheadGoldman Sachs blew past estimates (EPS $17.01 vs $13.09 expected, profit +33%) while JPMorgan missed ($5.75 vs $5.93) and Wells Fargo fell 3% — yet the S&P 500 finished flat at 7,805.45, pinned below its record close as a memory-chip rout (SOX −2.67%, Micron under $1,000) kept the pressure on. Tonight brings the week's decider: US September CPI at 8:30 ET, then Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock and ASML before the open. Here are the levels, both cases, and the watch list.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 14, Wed
Goldman Sachs blew past estimates (EPS $17.01 vs $13.09 expected, profit +33%) while JPMorgan missed ($5.75 vs $5.93) and Wells Fargo fell 3% — yet the S&P 500 finished flat at 7,805.45, pinned below its record close as a memory-chip rout (SOX −2.67%, Micron under $1,000) kept the pressure on. Tonight brings the week's decider: US September CPI at 8:30 ET, then Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock and ASML before the open. Here are the levels, both cases, and the watch list.
placeholder
US September CPI recap: inflation hits 3.7% as core runs hot — is an October Fed hike back on the table?September CPI landed hot: headline 3.7% y/y, core 2.6% y/y and 0.3% m/m. October hike odds jumped from ~22% to ~37% — yet the dollar faded to 101.74, gold closed higher and the S&P 500 fell 1.11%. Here is the full repricing, the levels and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 05: 52
September CPI landed hot: headline 3.7% y/y, core 2.6% y/y and 0.3% m/m. October hike odds jumped from ~22% to ~37% — yet the dollar faded to 101.74, gold closed higher and the S&P 500 fell 1.11%. Here is the full repricing, the levels and what to watch next.
placeholder
Gold defends $4,100 as BofA targets a break below $4,000 — why the Middle East bid is missingSpot gold flushed to $4,099.89, a whisker above October's $4,090 low, then rebounded to close at $4,138.25 (+0.82%) — even as US CPI ran hot. Bank of America sees gold below $4,000 within three months, citing shrinking demand and official-sector selling. Here are the levels, the drivers and what would flip the script.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 57
Spot gold flushed to $4,099.89, a whisker above October's $4,090 low, then rebounded to close at $4,138.25 (+0.82%) — even as US CPI ran hot. Bank of America sees gold below $4,000 within three months, citing shrinking demand and official-sector selling. Here are the levels, the drivers and what would flip the script.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 15, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 15, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
2 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 15, 2026. Read on for the details.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote