GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls keep momentum steady, overbought indicators signal near-term correction possible

Source Fxstreet
  • The pair rose to highs since 2007 at 199.90.
  • The daily RSI indicates an overextended buying momentum, suggesting a pending technical correction.
  • The hourly indicators have already started to consolidate.

In Friday’s session, the GBP/JPY pair experienced upward momentum, rising by 0.37% and the pair reached multi-year highs, a clear indication of the stronghold buyers have within the market. While a near-term technical correction could potentially occur due to the overbought condition, the overall outlook remains bullish for the cross.

In the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved deep into overbought territory. The persistently high values hint at strong buying sentiment, but they also suggest a potential future correction. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reveals flat green bars, indicating positive momentum despite the relatively stable trend which may suggest that the pair might consolidate for the rest of the session.

GBP/JPY daily chart

When examining the hourly chart, the RSI reveals noticeable ebbs and flows, with the latest value standing at 61. Although still positive, this level appears somewhat less intense when compared to the daily chart. The hourly MACD histogram continues to display flat green bars, indicating steady positive momentum which mirrors its daily counterpart.

GBP/JPY hourly chart

From a broader outlook, the GBP/JPY's position relative to its Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) helps to clarify the overall trend. The pair stands above the 20, 100, and 200-day SMAs, reflecting a bullish outlook for both short and long-term scenarios.

 

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price 199.87
Today Daily Change 0.61
Today Daily Change % 0.31
Today daily open 199.26
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 196.03
Daily SMA50 193.45
Daily SMA100 190.81
Daily SMA200 187.14
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 199.9
Previous Daily Low 199.02
Previous Weekly High 197.86
Previous Weekly Low 194.74
Previous Monthly High 200.59
Previous Monthly Low 190
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 199.36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 199.56
Daily Pivot Point S1 198.89
Daily Pivot Point S2 198.51
Daily Pivot Point S3 198.01
Daily Pivot Point R1 199.77
Daily Pivot Point R2 200.27
Daily Pivot Point R3 200.64

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Gold falls below $4,300 as higher US yields bolster Fed rate hike betsGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 23
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 08: 16
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
placeholder
Silver breaks $64 as precious metals rebound — can gold hold the $4,280 line into the Fed decision?Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
Author  Suzie
6 hours ago
Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
placeholder
Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as the CLARITY Act fails in the Senate — what the vote means for cryptoThe US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
Author  Suzie
6 hours ago
The US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote