USD/CHF holds its position around 0.9100, FOMC Meeting Minutes eyed
Source Fxstreet
- USD/CHF inches lower possibly due to the higher yield on 10-year Swiss bond.
- SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan will deliver a speech about monetary policy at the Swiss Media Forum on Friday.
- The US Dollar may advance due to the hawkish remarks from the Fed officials.
USD/CHF snaps its three-day winning streak, trading around 0.9100 during the European session on Tuesday. The yield on the 10-year Swiss government bond inched higher to around 0.72%, which has indicated the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to maintain current interest rates. This could have strengthened the CHF and weakened the USD/CHF pair.
Traders await the Employment Level released by the Swiss Statistics later in the week. Also, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas Jordan will deliver a speech about communication, monetary policy, and public impact at the Swiss Media Forum in Lucerne, Switzerland on Friday.
On the USD side, the downward correction of the US Dollar (USD) is attributed to the lower US Treasury yields, undermining the USD/CHF pair. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against the six other major currencies, edges lower to near 104.60 with 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds standing at 4.83% and 4.43%, respectively, by the press time.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) maintains a cautious stance regarding inflation and the possibility of rate cuts in 2024. On Monday, Loretta Mester, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, told Bloomberg that she no longer believes three rate cuts in 2024 are appropriate. Mester highlighted that inflation risks are skewed to the upside and emphasized that there is no harm in spending additional time gathering data on inflation, given the strength of the economy.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
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The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
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