NZD/USD Price Analysis: Buyers take a breather after Wednesday’s rally, outlook remains positive

Source Fxstreet
  • The daily RSI shows that the pair has strong positive momentum, approaching overbought conditions but turning flat.
  • Hourly RSI indicates a slight retreat, hinting at some short-term consolidation.
  • The pair remains firm above its main SMAs, signaling a solid bullish sentiment in the near and distant future.

On Thursday's session, the NZD/USD remained flat at around 0.6120, as investors seem to be taking profits. After the Kiwi jumped above its main Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) the outlook turned bullish for the pair, but further consolidation may be in the horizon.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows positive momentum, fluctuating within positive territory, and nearing overbought status but turned flat on Thursday. The green bars of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reinforce the positive trend but are also flattened.

NZD/USD daily chart

Moving to the hourly chart, mixed signals are visible. The RSI retreated slightly after being deep in overbought terrain, revealing a subtle slowdown in buying enthusiasm in recent hours. The red bars of the MACD suggest that the buying traction was weak in the last hours.

NZD/USD hourly chart

To conclude, bearing in mind the positive RSI indicators and the green MACD histogram, alongside the currency pair being above critical SMAs, the market seems to favor the bulls for the NZD/USD pair in both the short and long term but further consolidation shouldn’t be taken off the table. However, the conquered 100- and 200-day SMA will be a strong support that could limit losses.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6122
Today Daily Change 0.0000
Today Daily Change % 0.00
Today daily open 0.6122
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.5974
Daily SMA50 0.6009
Daily SMA100 0.6081
Daily SMA200 0.6038
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6126
Previous Daily Low 0.6025
Previous Weekly High 0.6041
Previous Weekly Low 0.598
Previous Monthly High 0.6079
Previous Monthly Low 0.5851
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6088
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6064
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6056
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.599
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.5956
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6157
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6192
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6258

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 15, Tue
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
placeholder
Silver breaks $64 as precious metals rebound — can gold hold the $4,280 line into the Fed decision?Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 08: 40
Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
placeholder
Dow drops 631 points as the Fed hikes — but futures are rebounding: what's next for US stocks?The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
Author  Irene Q.
10 hours ago
The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
11 hours ago
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote