USD/JPY holds near 155.50 after Tokyo CPI inflation eases more than expected

Source Fxstreet
  • Japan’s Tokyo CPI inflation fell below forecasts early Friday.
  • US data confounded rate-hungry investors on Thursday.
  • Markets await BoJ rate call, US PCE Price Index figures.

Japan’s Tokyo Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) inflation printed well below expectations early Friday, which will complicate the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) upcoming rate call and Monetary Policy Report, due during the Pacific market session.

Tokyo CPI inflation rose only 1.8% on an annualized basis in April, well below the previous print of 2.6%. Markets were broadly expecting Tokyo inflation to hold steady over the period.

Read more: Tokyo Consumer Price Index rises 1.8% YoY in April vs. 2.6% expected

US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) also eased faster than expected, prompting discouragement in risk appetite on Thursday. Further complicating matters, US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation remained stubbornly higher in the first quarter than investors hoping for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts were hoping for. 

US PCE Price Index inflation will deliver a fine-tuned look at US inflation later Friday. US MoM Core PCE Price Index numbers for March are forecast to hold steady at 0.3%.

With the Japanese Yen (JPY) trading into multi-year lows across the board, the BoJ is expected to begin weighing market interventions. According to reporting by Nikkei, the Japanese central bank is expected to discuss intervention options to help bolster the battered Yen.

USD/JPY technical outlook

USD/JPY is trading tightly just below the 156.00 handle, hugging multi-year highs as the Yen continues to deflate. The pair is trading into 30-plus year highs, and bullish momentum is targeting all-time record bids beyond 160.00, a price level the pair hasn’t reached since 1990.

The USD/JPY pair is on pace to close bullish for a fourth consecutive month, and is up 10.4% in 2024.

USD/JPY hourly chart

USD/JPY daily chart

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Weekly Market Outlook: U.S. October CPI Focus and Powell and Fed Officials SpeakInsights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 11, 2024
Insights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
Sep 30, Wed
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Oct 01, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
placeholder
WTI Price Forecast: Dips to $91.50 as Middle East jitters limit lossesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak and stalling the previous day's recovery from the vicinity of a nearly four-week low.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 02, Fri
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak and stalling the previous day's recovery from the vicinity of a nearly four-week low.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote