GBP/JPY rallies to its highest level since August 2005 as traders look to BoJ on Friday

Source Fxstreet

  • GBP/JPY attracts strong follow-through buying for the third successive day on Thursday.
  • The lack of decisive action and the BoJ’s uncertain rate outlook weigh heavily on the JPY.
  • A modest USD downtick benefits the GBP and also contributes to the positive momentum.

The GBP/JPY cross gains strong positive traction for the third straight day on Thursday and spikes to the 195.00 neighborhood, or its highest level since August 2015 during the first half of the European session. 

Despite the recent verbal warnings by Japanese authorities, the lack of any decisive action and the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) cautious approach towards further policy tightening continues to weigh heavily on the Japanese Yen (JPY). This, along with a goodish pickup in demand for the British Pound (GBP), bolstered by a modest US Dollar (USD) weakness, turn out to be key factors that provide a strong boost to the GBP/JPY cross. 

The upward trajectory could further be attributed to technical buying following the overnight breakout through the 192.80-192.85 supply zone and a subsequent strength beyond the previous YTD peak, around the 193.50-193.55 region. Hence, it remains to be seen if the bullish run is backed by genuine buying or turns out to be a stop run as the market focus now shifts to the crucial BoJ decision, scheduled to be announced on Friday.

In the meantime, a mildly softer tone around the equity markets could offer some support to the safe-haven JPY. Apart from this, bets that the Bank of England (BoE) could start cutting interest rates, as early as June, might act as a headwind for the GBP. Heading into the key central bank event risk, the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before positioning for a further appreciating move for the GBP/JPY cross.

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price 194.88
Today Daily Change 1.26
Today Daily Change % 0.65
Today daily open 193.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 191.78
Daily SMA50 190.86
Daily SMA100 187.71
Daily SMA200 185.73
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 193.64
Previous Daily Low 192.42
Previous Weekly High 192.84
Previous Weekly Low 190.3
Previous Monthly High 193.54
Previous Monthly Low 187.96
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 193.17
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 192.88
Daily Pivot Point S1 192.81
Daily Pivot Point S2 192
Daily Pivot Point S3 191.58
Daily Pivot Point R1 194.04
Daily Pivot Point R2 194.45
Daily Pivot Point R3 195.26

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin Drops Below $83,000 as US Government Transfers Over 10,000 BTC, Sparking Panic Over Potential Selling PressureUS government transfers over 10,000 BTC as Bitcoin extends losses to breach $83,000, but a further sharp decline remains unlikely.On October 8, Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent losses, f
Author  TradingKey
12 hours ago
US government transfers over 10,000 BTC as Bitcoin extends losses to breach $83,000, but a further sharp decline remains unlikely.On October 8, Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent losses, f
placeholder
Gold falls to a two-month low as real yields bite — can $4,000 hold?Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
Author  Irene Q.
12 hours ago
Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Drops Below $4,100, Could Test $4,000 in Short TermAs of the Asian session on October 8, gold prices (XAUUSD) maintained a weak rebound trend today, with the latest price trading around $4,120; yesterday, gold prices briefly fell below $4
Author  TradingKey
12 hours ago
As of the Asian session on October 8, gold prices (XAUUSD) maintained a weak rebound trend today, with the latest price trading around $4,120; yesterday, gold prices briefly fell below $4
placeholder
Euro slides to a 17-month low as France's budget crisis spreads — can 1.12 hold?EUR/USD touched 1.1162 on 5 October, its weakest level in 17 months, as France's budget standoff pushed the 10-year OAT above 5% and the OAT-Bund spread to roughly 160bp — the widest since the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis. The euro now trades near 1.1215 ahead of US jobless claims and a $22 billion 30-year Treasury auction. Here are the levels and the two scenarios to watch.
Author  Irene Q.
12 hours ago
EUR/USD touched 1.1162 on 5 October, its weakest level in 17 months, as France's budget standoff pushed the 10-year OAT above 5% and the OAT-Bund spread to roughly 160bp — the widest since the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis. The euro now trades near 1.1215 ahead of US jobless claims and a $22 billion 30-year Treasury auction. Here are the levels and the two scenarios to watch.
placeholder
Today’s Market Recap: 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Since 2002,U.S. Stocks Fall as Brent Barely Holds $100Tracking the Market TrendTradingKey - On October 7, U.S. Eastern Time, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to an intraday high of 5.36%, its highest level since 2002, while all three major U.S. stock i
Author  TradingKey
18 hours ago
Tracking the Market TrendTradingKey - On October 7, U.S. Eastern Time, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to an intraday high of 5.36%, its highest level since 2002, while all three major U.S. stock i
Related Instrument
goTop
quote