GBP/JPY rallies to its highest level since August 2005 as traders look to BoJ on Friday

Source Fxstreet

  • GBP/JPY attracts strong follow-through buying for the third successive day on Thursday.
  • The lack of decisive action and the BoJ’s uncertain rate outlook weigh heavily on the JPY.
  • A modest USD downtick benefits the GBP and also contributes to the positive momentum.

The GBP/JPY cross gains strong positive traction for the third straight day on Thursday and spikes to the 195.00 neighborhood, or its highest level since August 2015 during the first half of the European session. 

Despite the recent verbal warnings by Japanese authorities, the lack of any decisive action and the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) cautious approach towards further policy tightening continues to weigh heavily on the Japanese Yen (JPY). This, along with a goodish pickup in demand for the British Pound (GBP), bolstered by a modest US Dollar (USD) weakness, turn out to be key factors that provide a strong boost to the GBP/JPY cross. 

The upward trajectory could further be attributed to technical buying following the overnight breakout through the 192.80-192.85 supply zone and a subsequent strength beyond the previous YTD peak, around the 193.50-193.55 region. Hence, it remains to be seen if the bullish run is backed by genuine buying or turns out to be a stop run as the market focus now shifts to the crucial BoJ decision, scheduled to be announced on Friday.

In the meantime, a mildly softer tone around the equity markets could offer some support to the safe-haven JPY. Apart from this, bets that the Bank of England (BoE) could start cutting interest rates, as early as June, might act as a headwind for the GBP. Heading into the key central bank event risk, the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before positioning for a further appreciating move for the GBP/JPY cross.

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price 194.88
Today Daily Change 1.26
Today Daily Change % 0.65
Today daily open 193.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 191.78
Daily SMA50 190.86
Daily SMA100 187.71
Daily SMA200 185.73
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 193.64
Previous Daily Low 192.42
Previous Weekly High 192.84
Previous Weekly Low 190.3
Previous Monthly High 193.54
Previous Monthly Low 187.96
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 193.17
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 192.88
Daily Pivot Point S1 192.81
Daily Pivot Point S2 192
Daily Pivot Point S3 191.58
Daily Pivot Point R1 194.04
Daily Pivot Point R2 194.45
Daily Pivot Point R3 195.26

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 26, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 26, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 52
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 26, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Big Tech's $800 billion AI bill faces its first real test — free cash flow is the judgeAlphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 05: 32
Alphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
placeholder
Gold breaks $4,000 as oil becomes the inflation problem — $3,943 is the line that mattersSpot gold closed at $3,995.6 on October 23, down about 4.1% for the week and at its lowest since mid-July, and traded near $3,988 on October 26 even as Brent crude settled at $116.72 and Middle East supply risk stayed elevated. The war premium stopped working because oil is now the inflation trade: December Fed hike odds are 68.9% and the 10-year yield is 4.988%. Here are the three numbers, the transmission chain, and the July low at $3,943 that decides whether this is a bottom or a bigger correction.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 41
Spot gold closed at $3,995.6 on October 23, down about 4.1% for the week and at its lowest since mid-July, and traded near $3,988 on October 26 even as Brent crude settled at $116.72 and Middle East supply risk stayed elevated. The war premium stopped working because oil is now the inflation trade: December Fed hike odds are 68.9% and the 10-year yield is 4.988%. Here are the three numbers, the transmission chain, and the July low at $3,943 that decides whether this is a bottom or a bigger correction.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Drops Below $80,000 in Fifth Straight Loss, May Test $75,000 as FOMC Meeting Approaches Bitcoin falls below the $80,000 mark as the October FOMC decision approaches, threatening a further dip toward $75,000.On October 26, Bitcoin (BTC) again lost the key psychological mark o
Author  TradingKey
22 hours ago
Bitcoin falls below the $80,000 mark as the October FOMC decision approaches, threatening a further dip toward $75,000.On October 26, Bitcoin (BTC) again lost the key psychological mark o
Related Instrument
goTop
quote