EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls continue dominating, yet a consolidation may be incoming

Source Fxstreet
  • The daily RSI reveals increasing buying momentum, yet nearing overbought conditions hint at a potential technical correction ahead.
  • The hourly chart indicates a shift in short-term momentum towards sellers, and indicators consolidate.

The EUR/JPY stands at 165.68, trading with mild gains still in multi-year highs. Current market trends lean towards bullish momentum, keeping buyers in a favorable position. However, daily indicators are nearing overbought conditions, while the hourly ones have already reached that threshold and seem to be consolidating ahead of the Asian session.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reveals a positive trend. It has climbed since mid-April from the mid-40s deep into positive territory with the latest reading at 65. This increase in RSI reveals that buyers have recently dominated the market. However, an approach towards the overbought threshold suggests a potential future market correction looming.

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

On the other hand, the hourly chart shows a slight fluctuation in RSI values, which have swung between 48 and 71 during the session and buyers now seem to be taking a breather. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) prints flat green bars, adding arguments to a stagnant momentum.

EUR/JPY Hourly Chart

Regarding the overall trend, the EUR/JPY displays a bullish trajectory in the short term while maintaining its position above its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Turning to a longer time frame, the pair remains above 100- and 200-day SMAs. Such positioning could hint at the potential continuation of bullishness for the EUR/JPY pair.

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price 166
Today Daily Change 0.31
Today Daily Change % 0.19
Today daily open 165.69
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 164.19
Daily SMA50 163.26
Daily SMA100 160.88
Daily SMA200 159.79
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 165.74
Previous Daily Low 164.63
Previous Weekly High 165.03
Previous Weekly Low 162.67
Previous Monthly High 165.36
Previous Monthly Low 160.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 165.32
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 165.05
Daily Pivot Point S1 164.97
Daily Pivot Point S2 164.24
Daily Pivot Point S3 163.85
Daily Pivot Point R1 166.08
Daily Pivot Point R2 166.47
Daily Pivot Point R3 167.2

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US September CPI preview: inflation set to hit 3.7% — will the Fed hike in December?US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 10, Sat
US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
placeholder
Yen inches toward 159 as Tokyo reopens — where is the line in the sand before 160?USD/JPY traded around 158.5 on Tuesday after Monday's 158.60 close — the highest since September 24 — as Tokyo reopened and the market re-focused on two dates dominating the yen calendar: the G20 finance ministers' meeting in Bangkok on October 15 and the Bank of Japan's October 30 decision. Here are the three forces leaning on the yen, the positioning picture, and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 13, Tue
USD/JPY traded around 158.5 on Tuesday after Monday's 158.60 close — the highest since September 24 — as Tokyo reopened and the market re-focused on two dates dominating the yen calendar: the G20 finance ministers' meeting in Bangkok on October 15 and the Bank of Japan's October 30 decision. Here are the three forces leaning on the yen, the positioning picture, and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
placeholder
Strong profits, falling shares: bank earnings day one meets a memory-chip rout — with CPI and ASML aheadGoldman Sachs blew past estimates (EPS $17.01 vs $13.09 expected, profit +33%) while JPMorgan missed ($5.75 vs $5.93) and Wells Fargo fell 3% — yet the S&P 500 finished flat at 7,805.45, pinned below its record close as a memory-chip rout (SOX −2.67%, Micron under $1,000) kept the pressure on. Tonight brings the week's decider: US September CPI at 8:30 ET, then Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock and ASML before the open. Here are the levels, both cases, and the watch list.
Author  Irene Q.
17 hours ago
Goldman Sachs blew past estimates (EPS $17.01 vs $13.09 expected, profit +33%) while JPMorgan missed ($5.75 vs $5.93) and Wells Fargo fell 3% — yet the S&P 500 finished flat at 7,805.45, pinned below its record close as a memory-chip rout (SOX −2.67%, Micron under $1,000) kept the pressure on. Tonight brings the week's decider: US September CPI at 8:30 ET, then Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock and ASML before the open. Here are the levels, both cases, and the watch list.
placeholder
Bitcoin's V-shaped rebound: from $80,953 back above $83,000 — spot buyers step in as the Fed softens, but ETF outflows lingerBitcoin slid to $80,953 on October 13 — then snapped back above $83,000, reclaiming the 81,847–82,305 'golden zone' on spot-led buying as Williams and Waller cooled the Fed's hawkish tone and the dollar pulled back from its 18-month high. But October ETF outflows near $386 million and a fear-and-greed reading of 56 say the repair is unfinished. Here are the levels, the transmission chain and both cases ahead of tonight's US CPI.
Author  Suzie
17 hours ago
Bitcoin slid to $80,953 on October 13 — then snapped back above $83,000, reclaiming the 81,847–82,305 'golden zone' on spot-led buying as Williams and Waller cooled the Fed's hawkish tone and the dollar pulled back from its 18-month high. But October ETF outflows near $386 million and a fear-and-greed reading of 56 say the repair is unfinished. Here are the levels, the transmission chain and both cases ahead of tonight's US CPI.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 14, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 14, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
16 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 14, 2026. Read on for the details.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote