NZD/USD Price Analysis: Slight bullish momentum noted, long-term bearish bias intact

Source Fxstreet
  • The RSI of the NZD/USD on the daily chart shows a slight recovery from the buyers.
  • The hourly chart presents a more positive picture, with RSI remaining above 50, signaling increasing buying momentum.

The NZD/USD trades rose to 0.5930 in Tuesday’s session, marking a slight increase with gains of 0.17%. The currency pair continues to be guided by a long-term bearish trend. However, there is an attempt to challenge this bearish supremacy by buyers, albeit modest, and hourly indicators suggest that the momentum picked up is still weak.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveals a slight recovery showing a reading of 43, still within the negative territory, but suggesting a recent shift in bias among traders from negative to possibly a more positive trend. The decreasing red bars of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also support a weakening of the selling traction and a possible shift.

NZD/USD daily chart

The hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) presents a more upbeat picture, remaining above the 50 level, with a recent peak close to the 70 level. The latest reading stands at 57.75, providing a boost in momentum. Concurrently, the hourly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) registers decreasing green bars, indicating weak buying traction.

NZD/USD hourly chart

In terms of the broader outlook, the NZD/USD resides in a definitive bearish stance as its latest position stays below the key Simple Moving Averages (SMA), of 20, 100, and 200-days SMA. This positioning suggests that the overall trend leans heavily towards the downside. In addition, positive signals were detected on the hourly and daily chart but those signals were not decisive buying signals as the buying momentum remains weak. Buyers must increase their efforts and reclaim the 20-day SMA to start talking.

 

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.5933
Today Daily Change 0.0014
Today Daily Change % 0.24
Today daily open 0.5919
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.5968
Daily SMA50 0.6058
Daily SMA100 0.6121
Daily SMA200 0.6053
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.593
Previous Daily Low 0.5886
Previous Weekly High 0.5954
Previous Weekly Low 0.5851
Previous Monthly High 0.6218
Previous Monthly Low 0.5956
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.5913
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.5903
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.5894
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.5868
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.585
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.5938
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.5956
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.5982

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 28, Mon
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 29, Tue
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】The dollar ground higher for six days — and the AUD fell 2% in the very week the RBA hiked to a 15-year highThe dollar index held above 101 while the Australian dollar slid to a two-month low of 0.6976, a 2.02% six-session loss, even though the RBA raised rates to 4.60% and Australian CPI printed 4.0%. The yen is the only major currency gaining, ahead of Japan's monthly intervention tally at 7pm JST.
Author  Irene Q.
19 hours ago
The dollar index held above 101 while the Australian dollar slid to a two-month low of 0.6976, a 2.02% six-session loss, even though the RBA raised rates to 4.60% and Australian CPI printed 4.0%. The yen is the only major currency gaining, ahead of Japan's monthly intervention tally at 7pm JST.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
19 hours ago
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote