EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls Maintain Control, consolidation phase likely

Source Fxstreet
  • The RSI on the daily chart of EUR/JPY indicates sustained bullish momentum.
  • Hourly chart shows an RSI below its mid-zone and MACD with rising red bars, pointing towards possible consolidation.
  • The EUR/JPY's position above main SMAs underscores a strong bullish bias.

The EUR/JPY slightly declined to 164.70 in Thursday’s session. That being said, the overall trend still favors the bulls but a consolidation phase, suggested by bears dominating the hourly chart, may create a balanced playing field for both buyers and sellers ahead of the Asian session.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the EUR/JPY pair is in positive territory, with a most recent reading of 58. This suggests that the pair's upsurge might remain intact as long as the RSI stays above the 50 mark, indicating that buyers are in control at this moment.

EUR/JPY daily chart

Meanwhile, on the hourly chart, the EUR/JPY's RSI declined below its middle zone, with the latest reading of 44 as of the last hour. This could point towards a pending period of consolidation. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays rising red bars, also hinting at a temporary slowdown in the bullish momentum.

EUR/JPY hourly chart

Regarding the Simple Moving Average (SMA), the cross EUR/JPY holds strong above its 20, 100, and 200-day SMAs, indicating a bullish stance. That being said the pair must defend the 20-day SMA at 164.00 which is a strong support to maintain the positive short-term outlook.

 

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price 164.56
Today Daily Change -0.22
Today Daily Change % -0.13
Today daily open 164.78
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 164.02
Daily SMA50 162.94
Daily SMA100 160.67
Daily SMA200 159.61
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 164.81
Previous Daily Low 163.93
Previous Weekly High 165.18
Previous Weekly Low 162.28
Previous Monthly High 165.36
Previous Monthly Low 160.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 164.47
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 164.27
Daily Pivot Point S1 164.2
Daily Pivot Point S2 163.62
Daily Pivot Point S3 163.32
Daily Pivot Point R1 165.09
Daily Pivot Point R2 165.39
Daily Pivot Point R3 165.97

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 28, Mon
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 31
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
placeholder
The 30-year Treasury just hit a 22-year high — and the bond market is not pricing the Fed, it is pricing the deficitThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 07: 08
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
8 hours ago
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote