EUR/USD Price Analysis: Extends recovery, the first upside target is seen at 1.0700

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/USD rebounds to 1.0688 amid the weaker US Dollar on Thursday. 
  • The bearish outlook of the pair remains intact below the key 100-period EMA. 
  • The first upside target is seen at 1.0700; the initial support level is located at 1.0622.

The EUR/USD pair extends its recovery near 1.0688 on Thursday during the early European trading hours. The rebound of the major pair is backed by the selling pressure in the US Dollar Index (DXY) to 105.78. However, the upside of EUR/USD might be limited as the market expected the European Central Bank to cut the interest rate in June, which weighs on the Euro (EUR) against the Greenback. 

From a technical perspective, EUR/USD keeps the bearish vibe unchanged on the four-hour chart as the major pair is below the key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands in bullish territory around 55, suggesting that further upside cannot be ruled out. 

The first upside barrier of the major pair will emerge near the 50-period EMA and round figure at 1.0700. The additional upside filter to watch is the 100-period EMA at 1.0745. Further north, the next hurdle is seen near a low of March 22 and psychological level at 1.0800, en route to a high of April 9 at 1.0885. 

On the flip side, the initial support level for the major pair is located near a low of April 12 at 1.0622. The next contention level to watch is the 1.0595–1.0600 zone, indicating the lower limit of the Bollinger Band and round mark. Any follow-through selling below the latter will pave the way to a low of November 2 at 1.0565.

EUR/USD four-hour chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.0685
Today Daily Change 0.0012
Today Daily Change % 0.11
Today daily open 1.0673
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0776
Daily SMA50 1.0816
Daily SMA100 1.0857
Daily SMA200 1.0824
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.068
Previous Daily Low 1.0606
Previous Weekly High 1.0885
Previous Weekly Low 1.0622
Previous Monthly High 1.0981
Previous Monthly Low 1.0768
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0652
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0634
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0626
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0579
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0552
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.07
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0727
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0773

 

 

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $63.50 amid Fed hike bets, higher oil pricesSilver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
Author  FXStreet
11 hours ago
Silver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
14 hours ago
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
15 hours ago
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
TradingKey Daily Market Briefing: CPI Data Boosts Rate Hike Expectations, Geopolitical Risks Spark Oil Price SurgeTracking Market TrendsTradingKey - The three major U.S. stock indices rose across the board last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.98%, the Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 0.96%, a
Author  TradingKey
21 hours ago
Tracking Market TrendsTradingKey - The three major U.S. stock indices rose across the board last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.98%, the Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 0.96%, a
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: PPI and Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Concerns, Can CPI Change Gold's Direction?As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Author  TradingKey
Sep 11, Fri
As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Related Instrument
goTop
quote