USD/CAD clings to 1.3800 after retreating from its five-month highs

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CAD pulls back from the high level of 1.3846, which has not been seen since mid-November.
  • The US Dollar may strengthen further on the likelihood of the Fed extending its tight monetary policy.
  • The lower WTI price could limit the advance of the Canadian Dollar.

USD/CAD retreats from a five-month high of 1.3846 reached on Tuesday. The pair trades around 1.3800 during the European hours on Wednesday. The minor decline in the US Dollar (USD) adds to the downward pressure on the USD/CAD pair.

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains close to its five-month peak of 106.51 achieved on Tuesday. At the time of writing, the 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds stand at 4.94% and 4.63%, respectively.

The hawkish remarks from the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, could have supported the US Dollar (USD). According to Reuters, Powell remarked that recent data suggests minimal advancement in inflation this year, implying a prolonged period before reaching the 2% target.

The lower crude Oil prices weaken the Canadian Dollar (CAD), given that Canada is the largest oil exporter to the United States (US). West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price dips to nearly $84.40 per barrel, at the time of writing.

The concerns over Oil supply stemming from heightened tensions in the Middle East have been overshadowed by worries about global demand. Sluggish economic growth in China and the anticipated rise in US commercial stockpiles have heightened concerns regarding the global demand for crude Oil

The Canadian inflation data has provided support for the Bank of Canada (BoC) to contemplate easing borrowing conditions in its upcoming June meeting. Particularly, the closely monitored core inflation indicator exhibited signs of sustained moderation, which may influence the BoC's decision-making regarding monetary policy adjustments.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.6% MoM, lower than the expected 0.7% in March but higher than the previous increase of 0.3%. Meanwhile, Core CPI (YoY) increased by 2.0% at a slower pace compared to the previous rise of 2.1%.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3807
Today Daily Change -0.0022
Today Daily Change % -0.16
Today daily open 1.3829
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3607
Daily SMA50 1.3551
Daily SMA100 1.3488
Daily SMA200 1.352
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3846
Previous Daily Low 1.3774
Previous Weekly High 1.3787
Previous Weekly Low 1.3547
Previous Monthly High 1.3614
Previous Monthly Low 1.342
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3819
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3802
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3787
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3744
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3715
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3859
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3888
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3931

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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7 hours ago
Bitcoin has dropped back below $88,000 after rolling over from $90,500, with price still trading under the 100-hour Simple Moving Average. The sell-off found a floor at $85,151, and BTC is now consolidating near that base, but rebounds are facing pressure from a bearish trend line around $89,000. Bulls need to retake $88,000–$89,000 to ease downside risk; failure to do so keeps $85,500–$85,000 and then $83,500 in play, with $80,000 as the deeper “line in the sand.” Bitcoin (BTC) is back in damage-control mode after a sharp pullback wiped out recent gains. The price failed to reclaim the $90,000–$90,500 band, rolled over, and slid through $88,500 before briefly dipping under $87,000. Buyers did show up around $85,000, but the rebound so far looks more like stabilization than a clear trend reversal. Bitcoin dips hard, finds a bid near $85,000(h3) BTC’s latest move lower began when it couldn’t build follow-through above $90,000 and $90,500. Once that upside stalled, sellers took control and pushed price down through $88,500. The slide accelerated enough to spike below $87,000, but the market didn’t free-fall. Bulls defended the $85,000 zone, printing a low at $85,151. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $93,560 swing high to the $85,151 low — a clue that the bounce is still shallow and that sellers haven’t fully backed off yet. Structurally, BTC is still on the back foot: It’s trading below $88,000, and It remains below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average, keeping short-term trend pressure pointed downward. Resistance is layered, and $89,000 is the problem area(h3) If bulls try to turn this into a recovery, they’ll have to climb through multiple ceilings in quick succession. First, BTC faces resistance around $87,150, followed by a more meaningful barrier near $87,500. From there, the market’s attention snaps back to $88,000 — the level BTC just lost and now needs to reclaim. A close back above $88,000 would improve the tone, but it doesn’t solve the bigger issue: there’s a bearish trend line on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken feed) with resistance near $89,000, which also lines up with the next technical hurdle. If BTC can push through $89,000 and hold, the rebound could extend toward $90,000, with follow-through targets at $91,000 and $91,500. But until price clears that $88,000–$89,000 zone, rallies are at risk of being sold rather than chased. If BTC fails to reclaim resistance, the downside path is clear(h3) The near-term bear case is simple: if Bitcoin can’t climb back above the $87,000 area and keep traction, sellers may attempt another leg lower. Support levels line up like this: Immediate support: $85,500 First major support: $85,000 Next support: $83,500 Then $82,500 in the near term Below that, the major “don’t break this” level is still $80,000. If BTC slips under $80,000, the risk of acceleration to the downside increases significantly — not because it’s magic, but because it’s the kind of psychological and structural level that tends to trigger forced de-risking. Indicators: momentum still leans bearish(h3) The intraday indicators aren’t offering much comfort yet: Hourly MACD is losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI remains below 50, suggesting sellers still have the upper hand on short timeframes. So while the $85,000 defense held for now, the market hasn’t flipped bullish — it’s just stopped bleeding.
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