USD/JPY Price Analysis: Hold steady below 152.00 amid intervention threats

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY is modestly up, reflecting a cautious market amidst higher US Treasury yields and potential for Japanese intervention.
  • Technical indicators suggest resistance at 152.00, with further targets at 153.00 and 155.00 should the major break higher.
  • A move below the Tenkan-Sen could see USD/JPY testing support levels down to 148.93, amid ongoing market vigilance.

The USD/JPY remains subdued amid speculation of possible intervention by Japanese authorities. Although US Treasury yields pushed higher during Monday’s session, with the 10-year benchmark note rate rising 11 basis points, the pair stood shy of the day’s high of 151.77. At the time of writing, the major trades at 151.63, up 0.15%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY daily chart depicts the pair consolidating around the 151.00/152.00 region, with intervention threats strengthening the 152.00 mark as a first resistance level. A breach of the latter will expose the 153.00 psychological figure, ahead of 155.00.

On the other hand, if the USD/JPY pulls back below the Tenkan-Sen at 151.12, that would send the pair sliding to the Senkou Span A at 150.17, followed by the Kijun-Sen at 149.22. Further downside is seen at the Senkou Span B at 148.93.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart\

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 151.63
Today Daily Change 0.28
Today Daily Change % 0.19
Today daily open 151.35
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 149.8
Daily SMA50 149.4
Daily SMA100 147.59
Daily SMA200 146.88
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 151.5
Previous Daily Low 151.17
Previous Weekly High 151.97
Previous Weekly Low 151.03
Previous Monthly High 151.97
Previous Monthly Low 146.48
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 151.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 151.38
Daily Pivot Point S1 151.18
Daily Pivot Point S2 151.01
Daily Pivot Point S3 150.86
Daily Pivot Point R1 151.51
Daily Pivot Point R2 151.67
Daily Pivot Point R3 151.84

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 15, Tue
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 28, Mon
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Author  Irene Q.
20 hours ago
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
placeholder
The 30-year Treasury just hit a 22-year high — and the bond market is not pricing the Fed, it is pricing the deficitThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.
Author  Irene Q.
20 hours ago
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote