FTSE 100 down; employment better than expected; earnings data mixed
Source Investing
Investing.com – U.K. equities started mixed on Tuesday, with losses in majority of sectors. Top losers were Food & Drug Retailers, Household Goods, Industrial Metals & Mining and Electronic & Electrical Equipment. Mining, Personal Goods, Aerospace & Defense and Gas Water & Multiutilities sectors were up.
At the market open in London, the FTSE 100 Index fell 0.48%. The FTSE 250 Index and the FTSE 350 Index also declined. The FTSE 250 dropped 0.07%, while the FTSE 350 was down by 0.60%.
Top Gainers:
Fresnillo (LON:FRES): Climbed 2.12% or 10.72 points to 515.22.
Flutter (LON:FLTRF) Entertainment: Rose 0.69% or 115.0 points to 16,765.0.
JD Sports Fashion (LON:JD): Increased 0.63% or 0.85 points to 136.70.
Top Losers:
AstraZeneca (LON:AZN): Dropped 5.52% or 702.0 points to 12,010.0.
Hikma Pharma (LON:HIK): Declined 1.77% or 34.36 points to 1,909.65.
ConvaTec (LON:CTEC) Group: Fell 1.37% or 3.20 points to 230.40.
In Commodities Trading:
- Gold Futures for December delivery climbed 0.90 points to 2,533.60 a troy ounce.
- Crude Oil for October delivery dropped 0.43 points to 68.28 a barrel.
- November Brent Oil Contract fell 0.56% or 0.40 points to 71.44 a barrel.
Currency Markets:
- GBP/USD is still struggling to stay above 1.31 line.
- EUR/GBP is at 0.84.
- The US Dollar Index Futures was up 0.07% at 101.584.
Main Economic Events:
Today's main economic event in the United Kingdom are the earnings reports and the employment data. Employment change surpassed the forecasts.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
US input costs rose at the fastest pace in four years — the September flash PMI beat is an inflation story, not a growth storyUS September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
US September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
Brent edges toward $99 as Trump rejects Iran's Hormuz proposal — why the war-risk premium won't rebuildBrent crude rose 0.92% to $98.51 and WTI gained 1.15% to $93.51 after President Trump rejected Iran's seven-day proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. But both benchmarks remain about 12% below their early-September highs, because supply never actually stopped. Hormuz flows ran at 33.7 million barrels this week, in line with the prior week, and Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline restarted on September 22.
Brent crude rose 0.92% to $98.51 and WTI gained 1.15% to $93.51 after President Trump rejected Iran's seven-day proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. But both benchmarks remain about 12% below their early-September highs, because supply never actually stopped. Hormuz flows ran at 33.7 million barrels this week, in line with the prior week, and Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline restarted on September 22.
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
