USD/CHF softens below 0.8300 amid US trade confusion

Mitrade
coverImg
Source: DepositPhotos
  • USD/CHF weakens to around 0.8270 in Monday’s early European session. 

  • Uncertainty and tariff concerns boost the safe-haven flows, supporting the Swiss Franc.  

  • The Fed remains in a blackout period ahead of the FOMC meeting on May 7. 


The USD/CHF pair attracts some sellers to near 0.8270 during the early European session on Monday. Trade-related uncertainties between the US and China and persistent geopolitical risks boost the safe-haven demand, benefiting the Swiss Franc (CHF). The preliminary reading of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the first quarter (Q1) and the April employment report will be the highlights later this week. 


US President Donald Trump said that there has been progress and he has talked with China’s President Xi Jinping. However, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Sunday that he did not know if Trump had talked to Xi Jinping. Bessent further stated that he had interactions with Chinese authorities last week but did not mention tariffs. Also, Beijing has denied that trade negotiations are taking place. The uncertainty surrounding trade policy between the world's two largest economies underpins the safe-haven currency like the CHF and acts as a headwind for USD/CHF. 


Traders raise their bets that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its rate-cutting cycle in June and lower borrowing costs by one full percentage point in 2025. This, in turn, could drag the Greenback lower. Meanwhile, the Fed remains in blackout mode ahead of its Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on May 7. 


Traders will keep an eye on the preliminary US Q1 GDP report and April employment data this week, as it might offer some hints about the Fed's next policy decisions and the US economic outlook. The expectation for April is that the US economy will add 130,000 jobs and the Unemployment Rate will remain at 4.2%. If the reports show a stronger-than-expected outcome, this could lift the US Dollar (USD) against the CHF in the near term. 

 

Read more

  • Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD retraces gains and nears two-month lows at $4,104
  • WTI rises to near $89.50 as Middle East supply threats offset Persian Gulf recovery
  • Gold holds steady below $4,150 amid elevated US yields
  • Silver/AUD (XAGAUD) Is up by 2.14% on Oct 5: Is the Demand Outlook Changing?
  • AUD/USD Price Forecast: Struggles to return to 0.7000 amid firm US Dollar
  • * The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only.  This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.

    goTop
    quote
    Related Articles
    placeholder
    United States Dollar Index sits near March 2025 highs, above 102.00 ahead of US NFPThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
    Author  FXStreet
    Oct 02, Fri
    The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
    placeholder
    US September Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Job Growth May Cool, How Will US Stocks, Dollar and Gold React?On Friday, October 2 (EDT), the U.S. will release its September nonfarm payrolls report, with markets focusing on whether job growth can sustain August's rebound and whether the data will
    Author  TradingKey
    Oct 01, Thu
    On Friday, October 2 (EDT), the U.S. will release its September nonfarm payrolls report, with markets focusing on whether job growth can sustain August's rebound and whether the data will
    placeholder
    【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
    Author  Suzie
    Sep 30, Wed
    The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
    placeholder
    【Daily Brief】The dollar ground higher for six days — and the AUD fell 2% in the very week the RBA hiked to a 15-year highThe dollar index held above 101 while the Australian dollar slid to a two-month low of 0.6976, a 2.02% six-session loss, even though the RBA raised rates to 4.60% and Australian CPI printed 4.0%. The yen is the only major currency gaining, ahead of Japan's monthly intervention tally at 7pm JST.
    Author  Irene Q.
    Sep 30, Wed
    The dollar index held above 101 while the Australian dollar slid to a two-month low of 0.6976, a 2.02% six-session loss, even though the RBA raised rates to 4.60% and Australian CPI printed 4.0%. The yen is the only major currency gaining, ahead of Japan's monthly intervention tally at 7pm JST.
    placeholder
    October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
    Author  Irene Q.
    Sep 23, Wed
    Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
    Live Quotes
    Name / SymbolChart% Change / Price
    USDCHF
    USDCHF
    0.00%0.00

    USD Related Articles

    • Financial Markets 2026: Volatility Catalysts in Gold, Silver, Oil, and Blue-Chip Stocks—A CFD Trader's Outlook
    • Best Currency Pairs To Trade 2026: Guide to Choosing Currency Pairs
    • Trading Chart Patterns:Ultimate Guide to Price Action
    • Australian Dollar Forecast In 2024/2025/2026: Should I Buy AUD/USD Or Other AUD Currency Pairs?
    • AUD/USD holds above 0.6500, eyes on RBA Minutes

    Click to view more