Trending Articles- Gold drops below $4,700 on stronger US Dollar, Middle East tensions
- Bitcoin Returns to $79,000 Level. Prediction Markets Bullish on Breaking $80,000 in April
- Gold holds steady near $4,600 as Fed rate decision looms
- Fed FOMC Meeting Is Approaching: Where Is the Focus? Will There Be More Rate Cuts This Year?
- WTI sticks to positive bias above $92.00 amid Middle East tensions
- Goldman Sachs: Structurally Bullish on Gold to $5,400, But Warns of Short-Term Pullback
EUR/USD is back up this morning after a rollercoaster ride on Friday as US payrolls were released. This week will all be about the US election with probably very little contribution by the eurozone calendar, ING’s FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Pre-election volatility is dominating
“The US election implications for the euro aren’t only related to the dollar reaction. Markets have scaled back some European Central Bank dovish bets after the latest eurozone growth and inflation numbers, but probably remain open to pricing back in the chance of a 50bp December cut should Trump win this week.”
“The rationale there is that the ECB will be more inclined to frontload easing given the risk of protectionism under Trump. At the moment, markets are pricing in 29bp of easing in December and an additional 30bp in January, which signals some residual bets on outsized cut remaining in place.”
“EUR/USD has briefly traded above 1.0900 this morning on the back of broad-based USD weakness. Pre-election volatility is dominating, but the still-wide rate differentials suggest the pair is expensive at these levels.”
Read more
* The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only. This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.
