EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Bullish run faces overbought risks, hovers around 169.00

Mitrade
coverImg
Source: DepositPhotos
  • EUR/JPY climbs nearing the pivotal 169.00 mark, propelled by strong risk appetite and market gains.


  • Technical analysis shows a robust uptrend, though an RSI of 76.00 signals overbought conditions.



  • If the pair surpasses 169.00, it faces resistance at the July 2008 high of 169.97, closely followed by the key 170.00 level.


  • A drop below 169.00 could lead to a pullback to 168.00, further potential supports at the Tenkan-Sen at 166.20 and the Kijun-Sen at 165.84.



The EUR/JPY rallies toward the 169.00 figure yet remains shy of breaching it as risk appetite improves, as Wall Street depicts. At the time of writing, the cross-pair trades at 168.89 and is up by 1.12%.



EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook


The daily chart depicts the EUR/JPY as upward biased, even though the rally has overextended. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 76.00, usually seen as overbought, but due to the strength of the uptrend, the 80.00 level is seen as the most extreme condition.


If buyers reclaim the 169.00, the next supply zone would be the July 2008 high of 169.97. Once those two levels are cleared, the next supply zone would be 170.00.


On the flip side, a daily close below 169.00, would pave the way for a retracement to 168.00. Subsequent losses are seen below the Tenkan-Sen at 166.20, followed by the Kijun-Sen at165.84




EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart, Soucre: TradingView.


EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price 168.88
Today Daily Change 1.86
Today Daily Change % 1.11
Today daily open 167.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 164.5
Daily SMA50 163.46
Daily SMA100 161.07
Daily SMA200 159.9
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 167.09
Previous Daily Low 165.93
Previous Weekly High 165.03
Previous Weekly Low 162.67
Previous Monthly High 165.36
Previous Monthly Low 160.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 166.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 166.37
Daily Pivot Point S1 166.27
Daily Pivot Point S2 165.52
Daily Pivot Point S3 165.11
Daily Pivot Point R1 167.43
Daily Pivot Point R2 167.84
Daily Pivot Point R3 168.59

 

 

Read more

  • Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD retraces gains and nears two-month lows at $4,104
  • AUD/USD Price Forecast: Struggles to return to 0.7000 amid firm US Dollar
  • Japanese Yen drifts lower as sustained USD buying offsets intervention fears
  • * The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only.  This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.

    goTop
    quote
    Related Articles
    placeholder
    Euro slides to a 17-month low as France's budget crisis spreads — can 1.12 hold?EUR/USD touched 1.1162 on 5 October, its weakest level in 17 months, as France's budget standoff pushed the 10-year OAT above 5% and the OAT-Bund spread to roughly 160bp — the widest since the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis. The euro now trades near 1.1215 ahead of US jobless claims and a $22 billion 30-year Treasury auction. Here are the levels and the two scenarios to watch.
    Author  Irene Q.
    6 hours ago
    EUR/USD touched 1.1162 on 5 October, its weakest level in 17 months, as France's budget standoff pushed the 10-year OAT above 5% and the OAT-Bund spread to roughly 160bp — the widest since the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis. The euro now trades near 1.1215 ahead of US jobless claims and a $22 billion 30-year Treasury auction. Here are the levels and the two scenarios to watch.
    placeholder
    AUD/USD Price Forecast: Struggles to return to 0.7000 amid firm US DollarThe Australian Dollar (AUD) gives back its early gains after rising to near 0.6975 and turns marginally lower at around 0.6964 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
    Author  FXStreet
    Oct 06, Tue
    The Australian Dollar (AUD) gives back its early gains after rising to near 0.6975 and turns marginally lower at around 0.6964 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
    placeholder
    United States Dollar Index sits near March 2025 highs, above 102.00 ahead of US NFPThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
    Author  FXStreet
    Oct 02, Fri
    The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
    placeholder
    【Daily Brief】The dollar ground higher for six days — and the AUD fell 2% in the very week the RBA hiked to a 15-year highThe dollar index held above 101 while the Australian dollar slid to a two-month low of 0.6976, a 2.02% six-session loss, even though the RBA raised rates to 4.60% and Australian CPI printed 4.0%. The yen is the only major currency gaining, ahead of Japan's monthly intervention tally at 7pm JST.
    Author  Irene Q.
    Sep 30, Wed
    The dollar index held above 101 while the Australian dollar slid to a two-month low of 0.6976, a 2.02% six-session loss, even though the RBA raised rates to 4.60% and Australian CPI printed 4.0%. The yen is the only major currency gaining, ahead of Japan's monthly intervention tally at 7pm JST.
    placeholder
    RBA set to hike interest rate to 4.60% in September as inflation remains elevatedThe Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.60% from 4.35% on Tuesday, after keeping rates unchanged at its previous two meetings
    Author  FXStreet
    Sep 29, Tue
    The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.60% from 4.35% on Tuesday, after keeping rates unchanged at its previous two meetings

    Forex Related Articles

    • How to Identify Forex Scams? Warning Signs Every Trader Should Know
    • Stop Loss: Your Savior In The Market
    • Is Mitrade a Legit Broker? A Transparent Review of Security, Platform, and Trading Conditions (2026 Updated)
    • Is Mitrade Right for You? A Complete Guide on How to Start Trading CFDs in 5 Steps
    • 6 Leading ASIC-Regulated Forex Trading Platforms&Apps in Australia (2026 Update)
    • Forex Trading In Malaysia - Top 10 Forex Brokers for Malaysia: Regulated & Trader-Friendly Picks

    Click to view more