WTI moves below $79.00 following hawkish remarks from Fed officials

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■WTI Oil price extends losses possibly due to the hawkish remarks from Fed officials regarding maintaining higher rates for longer.

■The death of Iran’s President and emerging health concerns regarding Saudi Arabia’s King do not appear to be affecting the market.

■Canada’s Trans Mountain pipeline started commercial operations this month, transporting an additional 590,000 barrels per day.


West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price extends losses to around $78.90 per barrel during the Asian session on Tuesday following the recent developments in the Middle East. However, the death of Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash and emerging health concerns regarding Saudi Arabia’s King Salman bin Abdulaziz do not appear to be affecting the market.


Crude Oil prices struggled as investors weighed recent hawkish remarks from the Federal Reserve (Fed) despite last week's cooling US consumer inflation data. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michael Barr said on Monday that the Fed is in a good position to hold the policy steady and watch the economy, as per a Reuters report.


In an interview with Bloomberg, Loretta Mester, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stated that she no longer believes three rate cuts in 2024 are appropriate. Mester highlighted that inflation risks are skewed to the upside and emphasized that there is no harm in spending additional time gathering data on inflation, given the strength of the economy.


According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve delivering a 25 basis-point rate cut in September has slightly increased to 49.6%, up from 48.6% a week ago.


In Canada, the expanded Trans Mountain pipeline (TMX) started commercial operations this month, overcoming years of regulatory delays and construction setbacks. This expansion will transport an additional 590,000 barrels per day (bpd) from Alberta to Canada's Pacific coast.


Investors are now turning their attention to the supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its affiliates (OPEC+). They are scheduled to meet on June 1 to set output policy, which will include decisions on whether to extend some members' voluntary cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day.


WTI US OIL


Overview
Today last price 78.82
Today Daily Change -0.32
Today Daily Change % -0.40
Today daily open 79.14
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 79.87
Daily SMA50 81.58
Daily SMA100 78.51
Daily SMA200 79.64
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 80.06
Previous Daily Low 78.64
Previous Weekly High 79.63
Previous Weekly Low 76.38
Previous Monthly High 87.12
Previous Monthly Low 80.62
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 79.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 79.52
Daily Pivot Point S1 78.5
Daily Pivot Point S2 77.86
Daily Pivot Point S3 77.08
Daily Pivot Point R1 79.92
Daily Pivot Point R2 80.71
Daily Pivot Point R3 81.35

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  • WTI Price Forecast: Trades above $75.50 on Iran uncertainty; 200-day SMA holds the key
  • * The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only.  This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.

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