Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD remains on the defensive amid positive signs from US-China trade talks

FXStreet
Updated
Mitrade
coverImg
Source: DepositPhotos

  • Gold price trades in negative territory around $3,235 in Tuesday’s Asian session. 

  • US and China agreed to de-escalate their trade war by lowering import tariffs on each other's goods for 90 days. 

  • Traders brace for the US April CPI inflation report, which is due later on Tuesday. 


The Gold price (XAU/USD) edges lower to around $3,235 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal remains on the defensive due to a stronger US Dollar (USD), higher US yields, and optimism on the US-China trade deal. Later on Tuesday, traders will take more cues from the US April Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.


Improved risk sentiment following the announcement of a temporary deal between the United States (US) and China to reduce tariffs has weighed on the safe-haven asset, like the Gold price. The US will cut extra tariffs it imposed on Chinese imports in April this year to 30% from 145%, and Chinese duties on US imports will be reduced to 10% from 125%. The fresh measures are effective for 90 days.


"The de-escalation of tensions between China and the US is reducing the demand for safe haven assets like gold," said Giovanni Staunovo, analyst at Swiss bank and London bullion clearer UBS.


Gold traders brace for the US CPI inflation data on Tuesday, which might offer some hints about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy path. The headline CPI is expected to show an increase of 2.4% YoY in April, while the core CPI is projected to show a rise of 2.8% YoY in the same report period.


Swap markets have priced in the Fed’s first 25 basis points (bps) rate cut for the September meeting, and they expect two additional rate reductions towards the end of the year. Last week, they indicated three cuts this year, with a change likely as soon as July.  


India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi said on Monday that operations against Pakistan have only been kept in abeyance, and the future will depend on their behaviour. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky noted he is prepared to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin this week, shortly after Trump urged him to “immediately” accept the Russian leader’s offer to hold peace talks in Turkey. Any signs of escalating geopolitical tensions could boost the safe-haven flows, benefiting the yellow metal.

* The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only.  This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.

goTop
quote
Do you find this article useful?
Related Articles
placeholder
Gold price recovers further from one-month low amid a weaker USDGold price (XAU/USD) is building on the previous day's goodish recovery from the $3,248-3,247 region or a one-month low and gaining positive traction for the second successive day on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) is building on the previous day's goodish recovery from the $3,248-3,247 region or a one-month low and gaining positive traction for the second successive day on Tuesday.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD failure to breach $3,300 brings $3,250 back into focusGold (XAU/USD) is bouncing higher on Monday, but the broader trend remains bearish, following a nearly 3% decline last week.
Author  FXStreet
Jun 30, Mon
Gold (XAU/USD) is bouncing higher on Monday, but the broader trend remains bearish, following a nearly 3% decline last week.
placeholder
Gold price drifts lower amid improved market sentimentThe Gold price (XAU/USD) extends the decline during Asian trading hours on Monday.
Author  FXStreet
Jun 30, Mon
The Gold price (XAU/USD) extends the decline during Asian trading hours on Monday.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends downside to near $3,250 on better risk appetiteThe Gold price (XAU/USD) extends the decline to around $3,265 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal tumbles to near one-month low after a United States (US)-China trade agreement boosted risk appetite. Investors await the Fedspeak later on Monday for fresh impetus. 
Author  FXStreet
Jun 30, Mon
The Gold price (XAU/USD) extends the decline to around $3,265 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal tumbles to near one-month low after a United States (US)-China trade agreement boosted risk appetite. Investors await the Fedspeak later on Monday for fresh impetus. 
placeholder
Gold price declines to fresh two-week low, further below $3,300 ahead of US PCE dataGold price (XAU/USD) attracts fresh sellers following the previous day's directionless price move and slides back below the $3,300 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
Jun 27, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts fresh sellers following the previous day's directionless price move and slides back below the $3,300 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
Real-time Quote