Bristol Myers Squibb: Bargain Buy or Value Trap?

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Bristol Myers' top drugs have lost patent protection and their sales have been declining.

  • The company, however, has a portfolio of growing drugs that have been doing fairly well of late.

  • The stock trades at a low value and offers a very high yield.

  • Motley Fool Issues Rare "Total Conviction" Buy Alert ›

Bristol Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) is a top name in healthcare, with a market cap of around $125 billion today. But over the past five years, the stock has generated returns totaling just 6% and has been a fairly lackluster investment. By comparison, the S&P 500 has generated returns totaling nearly 70% over that same time frame.

The market has been fairly bearish on Bristol Myers due to question marks about its future growth prospects, which has resulted in the stock trading at an incredibly low valuation today, and its yield being fairly high.

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Is it a bargain buy, or is this just a value trap that investors are better off steering clear of?

Doctor consulting with an older male patient in a bright medical office

Image source: Getty Images.

Its growth portfolio has been doing well

The concerns about Bristol Myers' growth are significant enough that management has broken out its products into a legacy portfolio and a growth portfolio to help show investors that the business isn't really in that bad a shape. Through the first six months of the year, the company's legacy portfolio experienced a 6% decline in revenue, when excluding the impact of foreign exchange. By comparison, the growth portfolio experienced 12% organic growth.

The good news is that with $13.8 billion in revenue, the growth portfolio has also become larger than the legacy portfolio, which generated $10.7 billion in sales over the past two quarters.

Overall, however, Bristol Myers grew its top line by just 3% organically during that stretch. But the solid numbers in the growth portfolio appear to have inspired investors, as the healthcare stock has risen by nearly 14% this year, slightly outperforming the S&P 500, which is up around 12%.

Could Bristol Myers stock be an underrated buy right now?

Although Bristol Myers stock has been beating the market this year, its valuation remains incredibly low, as it's trading at just nine times its estimated future earnings. By comparison, the S&P 500 averages a multiple of 19.

Bristol Myers' business is by no means broken. It has been dealing with patent expirations as many drugmakers inevitably do. But with an encouraging portfolio of growth products, the business has been doing reasonably well given the circumstances.

The stock's low valuation gives investors an excellent margin of safety. Plus, with a high-yielding dividend that pays 4.1% and that is sustainable with a payout ratio of around 55%, that sweetens the deal even further. Bristol Myers is a stock I'd definitely call a bargain, and it's a great option for long-term investors to consider loading up on right now.

Should you buy stock in Bristol Myers Squibb right now?

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David Jagielski, CPA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bristol Myers Squibb. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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