Is Visa Stock Still a Buy After Gaining 14% This Year?

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Since Oct. 1, Visa stock has surged 12%.

  • Every year since 2009, it has raised its dividend in Q4.

  • It is still a buy heading into earnings on Oct. 27.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Visa ›

Visa (NYSE: V) stock is trading at an all-time high, thanks to a major price surge over the past two weeks.

The payment processor ended September at $359 per share, and in the two weeks since, it has climbed about 12% to $401 per share, an all-time high.

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Visa stock is up 14% year to date, with pretty much all of the gains coming in the past two weeks. There have been a few catalysts for Visa; most notably, it got approval from the People's Bank of China to establish a bankcard clearing institution in China. This opens up one of the biggest markets in the world for Visa.

A person in their office at night, looking at data on big monitors with the city skyline in the background.

Image source: Getty Images.

Also, on Oct. 15, the company's Visa Direct stablecoin officially moved from the pilot stage to commercial deployment. Now, businesses can use the Visa stablecoin platform, marking a key milestone in bringing stablecoin-enabled money movement into commercial operations.

With these new developments, Visa stock got price target upgrades from both Baird and BMO Capital, perhaps providing a further boost.

A buy heading into earnings?

Visa reports its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on Oct. 27, and it typically raises its dividend in Q4. It has done that every year since 2009, and it's usually a substantial raise.

Last year, it bumped up the dividend 14% to $0.67 per share, and the year before that it was 13%. The two years previous to that, the raises were 15% and 20%, respectively.

Investors should expect a sizable dividend bump on Oct. 27, given that Visa anticipates Q4 revenue gains at the high end of low double digits, similar to the 14% gain in Q3. For the full fiscal year, it anticipates revenue growth in the low-teens and earnings per share (EPS) growth in the low- to mid-teens.

I still like it as a buy heading into earnings, with its forward P/E at a reasonable 24. Visa is durable across markets, which is why I like it as a long-term buy at this valuation.

Should you buy stock in Visa right now?

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Dave Kovaleski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Visa. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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