Japan’s Kiuchi: It’s important for FX moves to reflect fundamentals, be stable
Japan's Economics Minister Minoru Kiuchi said on Tuesday that it’s important for foreign exchane (FX) moves to reflect fundamentals and be stable. Kiuchi added that he will scrutinies impact of FX moves on Japan’s economy.
Key quotes
FX moves are determined by various factors.
Weak yen pushes up domestic inflation via rising import costs, could push down effective purchasing power of households, some firms.
Weak yen has benefit to economy by pushing up exporters’ profits, domestic capex.
Important for FX moves to reflect fundamentals, be stable.
It’s important to avoid rapid, short-term fluctuations in FX moves.
Will scrutinies impact FX moves on Japan’s economy.
The government will cope with rising cost of living from inflation by compiling economic package.
Market reaction
At the time of writing, the USD/JPY pair is trading 0.27% lower on the day to trade at 152.47.
Japanese Yen FAQs
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.
One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.
Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.
The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.
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