Crypto Today: Bitcoin recovery stalls below $120,000 as Ethereum, XRP rally gains momentum 

출처 Fxstreet
  • Bitcoin consolidates around $118,000 on Thursday amid cooling volume and rising spot ETF inflows.
  • Ethereum rally extends, nearing $3,500, supported by a robust technical structure and growing institutional appetite.
  • XRP bulls aim for record highs after breaking above $3.00 resistance.

The cryptocurrency market appears to be gearing up for a major run, evidenced by Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple’s (XRP) breakout in the last 24 hours. As Bitcoin’s (BTC) recovery stalled under $120,000 on Wednesday, the two leading altcoins extended gains above key resistance levels, suggesting potential capital rotation into mid and large-cap altcoins. 

Market overview: US House ‘Crypto Week’ back on track 

The United States (US) House of Representatives’ self-proclaimed ‘Crypto Week’ is back on track after the lawmakers cleared a procedural bottleneck, allowing key crypto legislation to advance to the final votes late Wednesday. A previous vote on Tuesday had failed to advance the legislation, forcing President Donald Trump to intervene.

The House is expected to vote on the GENIUS Act on Thursday and advance it to President Trump’s desk if it passes for his signature. Notably, the CLARITY Act could undergo the final vote next week before the House goes on recess in early August. Moreover, the Senate will have to vote on the Market Structure CLARITY Act before it can reach the President’s desk for signing.

Passing all three crypto bills, including the GENIUS Act, the CLARITY Act, and the Anti-Central Bank Digital Asset (CBDC), is expected to foster clear regulations for digital assets in the US. 

One of President Trump’s campaign promises was to remove the legislative hurdles that have been stifling innovation and ensure clear regulations that will help build America as the global leader in cryptocurrency.

The Bitcoin price did not react to the House’s successful procedural vote and continues to consolidate at around $118,000 during the European session. Altcoins, including Ethereum and XRP, edge higher at the time of writing, showing no signs of fatigue.

Data spotlight: Bitcoin, Ethereum ETF inflows rising 

Ethereum spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recorded the highest inflow on record of approximately $726 million on Wednesday, marking a significant increase from the previous day’s $192 million. This surge in US ETH spot ETFs underscores the growing institutional interest in Ethereum, resulting in a cumulative total net inflow of $6.48 billion and total net assets of $16.41 billion.

Ethereum spot ETF data | Source: SoSoValue 

As for Bitcoin spot ETFs, the inflow volume almost doubled from Tuesday’s $403 million to an average $799 million on Wednesday. None of the 12 ETFs licensed in the US experienced outflows, with BlackRock’s IBIT emerging as the best-performer with roughly $764 million streaming in.

Bitcoin spot ETF data | Source: SoSoValue 

Chart of the day: Bitcoin consolidates ahead of another breakout 

Bitcoin price shows signs of consolidation, with bulls aiming for highs above $120,000. A recovery attempt on Wednesday failed to breach the $120,000 hurdle, resulting in a brief correction to the daily low of $117,017.

Despite the lull in price action over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin appears technically bullish, supported by a buy signal maintained by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator since June 26. 

The blue MACD line crossing above the red signal line indicated a buy signal for traders to consider buying BTC. If the signal holds with the green histogram above the zero line expanding, the path of least resistance could stay upward, thereby increasing the probability of BTC closing in on record highs of $123,218.

Still, traders should temper their bullish expectations considering the Relative Strength Index (RSI) near overbought territory at 69. Profit-taking and volatility due to macroeconomic uncertainty could result in a trend reversal toward the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) currently at $108,990.

BTC/USDT daily chart

Altcoins update: Ethereum, XRP uptrend steady

Ethereum extends the bullish outlook, closing in on the short-term resistance at $3,500 at the time of writing. Its uptrend is backed by steady institutional demand and a robust technical picture, accentuated by a Golden Cross pattern formed when the 50-day EMA crossed above the 100-day EMA on July 10. The day’s close could confirm a second Golden Cross pattern, if the 50-day EMA settles above the 200-day EMA.

Traders will look for movement above $3,500 hurdle to ascertain the uptrend’s strength as they expand their bullish scope toward $4,000. In the event of the trend reversing downward, key tentative areas worth monitoring for support include $3,217, tested in January, and $2,880, a resistance-turned-support level.

ETH/USDT daily chart

As for XRP, the path of least resistance appears to be upward, backed by several bullish signals, including a MACD indicator buy signal and the overbought, yet upward-looking RSI.

XRP/USDT daily chart

Like Ethereum, XRP has the backing of a Golden Cross Pattern as observed with the 50-day EMA above the 100-day EMA on the chart above. The token is only 5% away from reaching record highs of $3.40.

 

Cryptocurrency prices FAQs

Token launches influence demand and adoption among market participants. Listings on crypto exchanges deepen the liquidity for an asset and add new participants to an asset’s network. This is typically bullish for a digital asset.

A hack is an event in which an attacker captures a large volume of the asset from a DeFi bridge or hot wallet of an exchange or any other crypto platform via exploits, bugs or other methods. The exploiter then transfers these tokens out of the exchange platforms to ultimately sell or swap the assets for other cryptocurrencies or stablecoins. Such events often involve an en masse panic triggering a sell-off in the affected assets.

Macroeconomic events like the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates influence crypto assets mainly through the direct impact they have on the US Dollar. An increase in interest rate typically negatively influences Bitcoin and altcoin prices, and vice versa. If the US Dollar index declines, risk assets and associated leverage for trading gets cheaper, in turn driving crypto prices higher.

Halvings are typically considered bullish events as they slash the block reward in half for miners, constricting the supply of the asset. At consistent demand if the supply reduces, the asset’s price climbs.


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밈코인 3대장 전망: DOGE·SHIB·PEPE, 매도세 심화 속 낙폭 확대 우려도지코인(DOGE), 시바이누(SHIB), 페페(PEPE)가 이번 주 들어 약 8% 안팎 추가 하락을 기록하며 밈코인 전반의 매도 모멘텀 강화가 확인되는 가운데, DOGE 0.129달러·SHIB 0.0000076달러·PEPE 0.0000041달러 등 핵심 지지선과 RSI·MACD 약세 신호를 중심으로 추가 조정·기술적 반등 시나리오를 짚은 기사입니다.
저자  Mitrade팀
어제 08: 41
도지코인(DOGE), 시바이누(SHIB), 페페(PEPE)가 이번 주 들어 약 8% 안팎 추가 하락을 기록하며 밈코인 전반의 매도 모멘텀 강화가 확인되는 가운데, DOGE 0.129달러·SHIB 0.0000076달러·PEPE 0.0000041달러 등 핵심 지지선과 RSI·MACD 약세 신호를 중심으로 추가 조정·기술적 반등 시나리오를 짚은 기사입니다.
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은 가격 전망: 연준 동결론 확산에 $49.50선 위협… 주간 저점 공방전연준의 12월 기준금리 동결 기대가 강화되며 CME 페드워치 기준 추가 인하 확률이 35.5%에 그친 가운데, 은(XAG/USD)이 온스당 49.50달러선에서 20일선 지지를 테스트하며 44.47달러 지지와 54.50달러 저항 사이에서 다음 방향성을 모색하고 있는 상황을 정리한 기사입니다.
저자  Mitrade팀
어제 07: 12
연준의 12월 기준금리 동결 기대가 강화되며 CME 페드워치 기준 추가 인하 확률이 35.5%에 그친 가운데, 은(XAG/USD)이 온스당 49.50달러선에서 20일선 지지를 테스트하며 44.47달러 지지와 54.50달러 저항 사이에서 다음 방향성을 모색하고 있는 상황을 정리한 기사입니다.
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XRP, 2달러 사수 작전… ‘심리적 마지노선’ 지켜낼까, 추락의 전조일까?XRP가 2.00달러 핵심 지지선을 간신히 방어하는 가운데, 미국 현물 XRP ETF 두 종목에 약 2억9,300만 달러의 자금이 유입되며 기관 매집 흐름이 이어지고 있지만, 선물 OI 부진과 데드 크로스·하락 추세선 등 기술적 약세 구조 속에서 2.45달러와 2.72달러 재돌파 여부가 4분기 리플 가격 방향을 가를 핵심 변수로 떠오르고 있다는 내용을 정리한 기사입니다.
저자  Mitrade팀
어제 06: 56
XRP가 2.00달러 핵심 지지선을 간신히 방어하는 가운데, 미국 현물 XRP ETF 두 종목에 약 2억9,300만 달러의 자금이 유입되며 기관 매집 흐름이 이어지고 있지만, 선물 OI 부진과 데드 크로스·하락 추세선 등 기술적 약세 구조 속에서 2.45달러와 2.72달러 재돌파 여부가 4분기 리플 가격 방향을 가를 핵심 변수로 떠오르고 있다는 내용을 정리한 기사입니다.
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비트코인 $86k 붕괴 직격탄… 스타크넷·텔코인·MYX, 낙폭 키우며 '급락 상위' 랭크비트코인(BTC)이 86,000달러 아래로 밀리며 알트코인 전반이 조정을 받는 가운데, 스타크넷(STRK), 텔코인(TEL), MYX 파이낸스(MYX)가 24시간 기준 18% 이상 급락한 ‘하락 상위 종목’으로 떠오른 상황에서, 각 종목의 핵심 지지·저항(STRK 0.15·0.26달러, TEL 0.004·0.007달러, MYX 1.69·3.49달러)과 RSI 흐름을 중심으로 추가 하락·기술적 반등 시나리오를 짚은 기사입니다.
저자  Mitrade팀
어제 06: 31
비트코인(BTC)이 86,000달러 아래로 밀리며 알트코인 전반이 조정을 받는 가운데, 스타크넷(STRK), 텔코인(TEL), MYX 파이낸스(MYX)가 24시간 기준 18% 이상 급락한 ‘하락 상위 종목’으로 떠오른 상황에서, 각 종목의 핵심 지지·저항(STRK 0.15·0.26달러, TEL 0.004·0.007달러, MYX 1.69·3.49달러)과 RSI 흐름을 중심으로 추가 하락·기술적 반등 시나리오를 짚은 기사입니다.
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금 가격 전망: 연준 인하 기대 후퇴에 눌린 XAU/USD, 위험회피 심리에도 4,100달러선 돌파 주저지연된 9월 NFP와 10월 FOMC 의사록 이후 12월 연준 인하 기대가 약해지며 달러 강세가 이어지는 가운데, 금(XAU/USD)이 온스당 4,020달러 추세선·200EMA 위에서 4,100달러 저항 아래에 갇힌 채 주요 지지·저항(4,000·3,931·3,886달러와 4,152~4,155·4,200달러)을 중심으로 다음 방향성을 모색하는 흐름을 정리한 기사입니다.
저자  Mitrade팀
어제 06: 27
지연된 9월 NFP와 10월 FOMC 의사록 이후 12월 연준 인하 기대가 약해지며 달러 강세가 이어지는 가운데, 금(XAU/USD)이 온스당 4,020달러 추세선·200EMA 위에서 4,100달러 저항 아래에 갇힌 채 주요 지지·저항(4,000·3,931·3,886달러와 4,152~4,155·4,200달러)을 중심으로 다음 방향성을 모색하는 흐름을 정리한 기사입니다.
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