Since US President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs address on April 2, the EUR is the second best performing G10 currency after the safe-haven CHF, Rabobank's FX analyst Jane Foley reports.
European Gas prices have fallen significantly following the de-escalation of the situation in the Middle East: at just over EUR 32 per MWh, the TTF reference price is now only slightly above this year's low at the end of April, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.
The current price movements are likely part of a 0.6570/0.6615 consolidation phase. In the longer run, short-term momentum has eased slightly; AUD may still move to 0.6645, but the odds are not high, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.