I lived through the dot.com bubble and found the experience very enlightening.
With quantum computing likely to be a huge opportunity, I'm still hedging my bets.
The internet has dramatically changed the world, and that change has occurred entirely in my lifetime. However, the dot-com bubble at the turn of the century should be a strong warning to investors, as newer, potentially more impactful technologies continue to emerge.
This is why my quantum computing pick in 2026 is a bit on the boring side.
Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »
The truth is that I've owned my big quantum play for about a decade. It was a legitimate factor in my decision to invest in International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM), but when I hit the buy button, quantum was still in its early stages of development. I reasoned at the time that IBM had the resources and technological capabilities to turn quantum into a real business at some point in the distant future.
Image source: Getty Images.
I didn't expect quantum to become a hot topic on Wall Street within a decade when I added IBM to my portfolio. And, in truth, the real driver of the company's results has been its pivot into cloud computing and artificial intelligence. That said, the next big thing could very well be quantum computing, and IBM is likely to be an important player in the space.
IBM's business and stock have both rebounded strongly since I bought shares in 2016, which is nice. However, a deep drawdown, driven by investor fears about AI's impact on the company's business, has tempered my gains. I'm not overly concerned because IBM is a large and diversified business. I expect AI to benefit the company by helping IBM better serve its business customers over the long term.
Meanwhile, IBM can use its vast resources to continue investing in the next big technology. It seems highly likely that technology will be quantum. If it isn't, well, that's not a big problem for me because I'm confident that IBM will just pivot again, like it has many times in its over 100-year history. It has the financial strength and the research and development depth to do that. That isn't something that can be said of a company that is 100% focused on quantum computing, like IonQ (NYSE: IONQ).
IonQ is seeing material revenue growth, which is exciting, but it is also bleeding red ink. The losses aren't going to stop in 2026 based on management's guidance. If you are a conservative investor like I am and you want to add some quantum exposure to your portfolio, IBM is likely to be a better choice. IBM is hardly cheap, but after an over 20% drawdown on AI concerns, it is cheaper than it has been in a little while.
Before you buy stock in International Business Machines, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and International Business Machines wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $523,599!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,118,640!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 951% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 194% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
See the 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returns as of March 3, 2026.
Reuben Gregg Brewer has positions in International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends International Business Machines and IonQ. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.