Why Did FedEx Stock Surge 20% in February?

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Sector tailwinds were one factor in boosting FedEx shares last month.

  • The stock is one of the top five holdings in two large transportations ETFs.

  • FedEx has four strategic priorities to meet 2029 financial goals.

  • 10 stocks we like better than FedEx ›

FedEx (NYSE: FDX) shareholders have had a good last year. The stock has rocketed nearly 50% higher over the past 12 months. Much of that came just last month, though. There were both sector and company-specific reasons for the February move.

FedEx stock jumped 20.1% last month alone, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence.

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Sector tailwinds

As investors shift their focus from technology stocks to industrials, names like FedEx benefit. The global courier delivery company's stock was among the top five holdings of two leading transportation sector exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as of February 2026. The ETFs, iShares U.S. Transportation ETF and SPDR S&P Transportation ETF, hold about $1.5 billion in combined assets under management.

Last month marked a period when investors began to sour on big tech names amid fears of overspending on artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Investors moved money into FedEx as the company sought to recoup tariff-related costs after the Supreme Court ruled some of President Trump's tariffs were illegally implemented. FedEx was among thousands of companies petitioning the U.S. Court of International Trade in Manhattan for tariff refunds levied by President Donald Trump last year, according to Reuters.

FedEx has a plan

Another thing impacting FedEx stock last month was its Investor Day presentation held on Feb. 12. The company is focusing on achieving premium growth in high-margin sectors, enhancing its digital and AI capabilities, and continuing to transform its network, aiming to significantly boost profits and create value for shareholders. FedEx CEO Raj Subramaniam summed up his vision this way:

FedEx is now entering a new era as we build the most flexible, efficient, and intelligent network in history. Our vision is simple: to make supply chains smarter for everyone...What sets this moment apart is the role of digital intelligence. This is a true force multiplier that will support durable value with profitable growth, higher margins, stronger cash generation, and increased returns for our stockholders.

FedEx is taking a four-pronged approach. It will focus on higher margin commercial business, including "premium B2B and specialized B2C segments." The company will also work to advance its data and technology systems, focus on Europe as its most significant international opportunity, and continue to drive efficiency gains.

The company has already made progress, raising fiscal 2026 revenue and earnings guidance in December. It is also on track to spin off its FedEx Freight division on June 1, 2026. The Investor Day presentation also included a note for investors to expect its upcoming fiscal third-quarter earnings results to beat consensus expectations. It appears FedEx has the wind at its back right now, helping explain the stock's strong February trajectory.

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Howard Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends FedEx. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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