The Billionaire Who Sold Nvidia Too Early Just Bought 196,000 Shares of Broadcom -- Here's the Thesis Behind the Rotation

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Druckenmiller admitted that selling Nvidia was a “big mistake”.

  • He actively traded Broadcom from 2023 to 2025.

  • He recently bought Broadcom again, but it’s unclear if it’s a long-term investment.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Nvidia ›

In late 2022 and early 2023, Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne Family Office built a massive stake in Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) for a split-adjusted price of $22-24 per share. But in mid-to-late 2024, he sold his entire position at a blended average price of around $73.50.

Today, Nvidia's stock trades at about $190 per share. So even though Druckenmiller turned a $210-$220 million investment into roughly $655 million, that investment would be worth $1.7 billion today. Druckenmiller admits that selling Nvidia before the AI market exploded was a "big mistake", but he recently invested in another big AI name: Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO).

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An illustration of an AI chip on a circuit board.

Image source: Getty Images.

Druckenmiller traded in and out of Broadcom in 2023, 2024, and 2025, but he wasn't holding any shares at the end of 2025. In the first quarter of 2026, he initiated a new position by buying 196,000 shares for an average price of $330. Its stock is trading at $365 as of this writing. Let's see what that investment might mean for Broadcom's long-term investors.

Why is Broadcom a compelling investment?

Unlike Nvidia, which primarily produces general-purpose data center GPUs for training large language models (LLMs), Broadcom produces application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) customized to accelerate AI inference (software accessing the trained data).

At scale, Broadcom's AI accelerators can process AI tasks faster and more cost-efficiently than Nvidia's stand-alone GPUs. That's why Meta, Alphabet's Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all installing its custom ASICs.

In fiscal 2025 (which ended last November), Broadcom's sales of AI chips surged 65% to $20 billion and accounted for 31% of its top line. By fiscal 2027, it expects its AI chips to rise at least fivefold to over $100 billion. That's more than 58% of its projected $171 billion in revenue.

From fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2028, analysts expect Broadcom's annual revenue to more than triple as its EPS more than quadruples. Its soaring sales of AI chips should offset the slower growth of its non-AI chip and infrastructure software businesses. Broadcom's stock still trades at just 22 times next year's earnings -- so it could still have plenty of upside potential.

What does Druckenmiller's investment in Broadcom mean?

Druckenmiller hasn't made any public comments about his investment in Broadcom. On one hand, he could be simply buying it for a short-term trade, as he did from 2023 to 2025. But on the other hand, he could finally think it's worth holding instead of trading -- especially as it profits from the AI market's shift from training to inference.





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Leo Sun has positions in Meta Platforms. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Broadcom, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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