Why ExxonMobil Stock Dropped on Friday

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Iran just opened the Strait of Hormuz -- and yet, it's also still pulling mines out of the Strait.

  • President Trump agrees the Strait is open, and investors seem to think so, too.

  • The question now is whether the oil tankers believe it.

  • 10 stocks we like better than ExxonMobil ›

The Strait of Hormuz is open for business! That's good news for many investors, and the S&P 500 is up 1.2% as of 11:35 a.m. ET.

It's less good news for ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) stock, however. Shares of the oil giant fell 5.3% through 11:35 a.m. ET, as investors began pricing in the prospect of lower oil prices.

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Oil tanker at sea.

Image source: Getty Images.

Oil just got cheaper

Oil prices tumbled today, with WTI crude oil down 13% and Brent crude, the international benchmark, falling nearly 12%. Brent is now below $88, and WTI is at $82 a barrel. That's not cheap -- at the start of the year, you could buy a barrel of Brent for $60. But it's much cheap-er than a couple weeks ago, when Brent was approaching $110!

Thank (or blame) both President Trump and Iran for this.

This morning, Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi announced the Strait of Hormuz is open to "all commercial vessels" for the duration of Israel's ceasefire with Lebanon.

President Trump confirmed on Truth Social that the Strait is open, that Iran is removing its mines from the Strait -- but denied this is "tied" to an Israel-Lebanon truce, and reminded that the U.S. blockade on Iranian ships remains in effect.

What this means for Exxon stock

Confusing? Absolutely. Contradictory? Yes. That, too. But investors seem hopeful the conflict in Iran is nearing its conclusion, and oil may soon resume flowing from the Persian Gulf.

That's good news for most investors, but bad news for oil prices and for Exxon stock. At more than 22 times earnings and with one of the slowest projected growth rates for oil majors -- 11% -- Exxon stock looks suddenly expensive.

Should you buy stock in ExxonMobil right now?

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Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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