BYD looks undervalued relative to its growth potential.
It could be revalued as a growth stock once its near-term headwinds dissipate.
BYD (OTC: BYDDY), China's largest automaker, has grown like a weed over the past five years. From 2020 to 2025, its annual vehicle sales surged from 427,302 units to 4.6 million units, its revenue jumped from 157 billion yuan to 804 billion yuan ($118 billion), and its net income soared from 4 billion yuan to 33 billion yuan ($5 billion). Most of that growth spurt occurred after it stopped producing gas-powered cars in 2022 and sold more hybrid and electric vehicles. It even surpassed Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) as the world's largest EV maker in 2024.
Yet with a market cap of 917 billion yuan ($134 billion), BYD still trades at less than one times this year's sales. Tesla, with a market cap of $1.3 trillion, trades at 13 times this year's sales. So could an investment in BYD today set you up for life?
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Image source: BYD.
BYD, which was originally a battery maker before evolving into a diversified automaker, differentiates itself from other EV makers with its own lithium-iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, which are safer, cheaper, and more power-efficient than conventional lithium-ion batteries. It further expanded its first-party supply chain by manufacturing motors, chips, and power electronics, and unified its production lines with its e-Platform 3.0 architecture for multiple vehicles. That vertical integration reduced its expenses as it ramped up its production.
From 2025 to 2028, analysts expect BYD's revenue and net income to grow at 13% and 24% CAGRs, respectively. That growth will be driven by rising overseas shipments in Southeast Asia, Europe, and Latin America; the expansion of its fast-charging network in China, the rollout of new AI features in its mid-range vehicles, and increased production capacity.
To grow its profits, BYD will prioritize its higher-margin premium EVs and plug-in hybrid EVs, produce more cost-efficient first-party components, and leverage its scale to reduce costs. Those stable profits could make it a better investment than smaller Chinese EV makers like Nio, which are still years away from generating stable annual profits.
The trade war, tariffs, geopolitical conflicts, and the cooling EV market are all squeezing BYD's valuations. But if those headwinds dissipate, it could be revalued as a growth stock again.
If BYD matches analysts' estimates, grows its revenue at a 10% CAGR from 2028 to 2036, and trades at a more generous ten times sales by the final year, its stock could rise nearly 28 times over the next decade. Therefore, it could certainly be a life-changing investment -- but investors should brace for significant near-term volatility in this choppy market.
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Leo Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends BYD Company. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.