Jupiter launches first full native prediction market on Solana

The foremost decentralized aggregator on the Solana blockchain, Jupiter, has launched a prediction market called forecast today, which introduces a model that allows users trade multiple competing providers instead of a single one.

Forecast will start with short term crypto price predictions, and plans to expand into other market types after initial launch. The new market is also said to not be replacing Polymarket’s collaboration with the exchange.

Jupiter’s Forecast works differently

The product will integrate directly into Jupiter’s already existing prediction interface called Jup Predict, according to the project’s announcement on X.

Introducing: Jupiter Forecast for MMs, Solana’s first fully native prediction market.

For users, Forecast is built into @jup_predict, but provides an additional liquidity model that can deliver better prices and better execution.

Instead of trading against a single pool of…

— Jupiter (@JupiterExchange) June 4, 2026

Forecast does something different, however, by allowing proprietary automated market makers (Prop AMMs), to independently post quotes across available markets on the platform, instead of the singular liquidity pool method used by other prediction markets. The system would then match users with the most competitive price offer from the selection of market makers at that moment in time.

This structure is basically the same used by decentralized exchanges like Jupiter for spot trading, where users receive pricing from multiple liquidity sources rather than relying on one single pool.

The exchange described the mechanism as “an additional liquidity model that can deliver better prices and better execution,” according to the X post.

Each prediction market created through the Forecast platform will issue their own native tokens to ease integration into the platform.

Polymarket fears and initial 15-minute markets

Jupiter has also said that Forecast was not competing with Polymarket, one of its collaborators. The company stated in its announcement on X that it will “continue to maintain close collaboration with Polymarket and support its markets.”

Forecast will only offer extra liquidity in the prediction market for users to take advantage of, with the platform positioning as complementary infrastructure to Polymarket, the dominant prediction market across crypto.

Forecast’s initial phase will also focus on ultra-short-term cryptocurrency price predictions markets with 15-minute windows. The project said it plans to expand into additional market types after the initial rollout and launch.

JUP was trading down 9.65% in 24h at $0.1856 and SOL was down 5.23% in the same time frame at $69.12 at the time of writing according to CoinMarketCap.

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