Silver Price Forecast: XAG remains bearish as ‘evening star’ forms
- Silver remains capped below $64-$65 descending trendline resistance.
- Bulls need $65 breakout to challenge $70 and 200-day SMA.
- Break below $59.00 exposes $56.61 and $55.00 supports.
Silver price tumbles nearly 3% on Tuesday as market mood turns dismal due to heightened tensions in the Middle East, following attacks on two vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD trades at $60.26, after peaking at around $62.16.
XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
Silver remains downward-biased as long as it fails to clear a downward resistance trendline in the $64.00-$65.00 range, which could open the door to further upside.
Nevertheless, bulls are not out of the woods, as another key resistance level remains to be cleared, with the $70.00 psychological level up next, ahead of the crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $70.13. If these key levels are broken, Silver could rally towards the 50- and 100-day SMAs, each at $70.79 and at $74.64.
On the flipside, it’s worth noting that an ‘evening star’ formed, which opens the door for further downside. If XAG/USD dives below the July 2 daily low of $59.00, this opens the door to challenge the June 30 daily low of $56.61 ahead of the $55.00 psychological level.
XAG/USD Price Chart - Daily
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
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