The first half of July could prove pivotal for the FX market, with three events in focus: the Senate vote on the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" (OBBBA), which US President Donald Trump wants passed by 4 July, Thursday’s US jobs data, and the expiration of the reciprocal tariff pause on 9 July.
US Dollar (USD) bearishness subsided a little last week, helped by the mildly hawkish outcome of the FOMC, and has receded further this morning as markets react to the US attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities and concerns over potential Iranian responses, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborn
The US Dollar Index (DXY) whipsawed on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept interest rates unchanged, as investors had broadly expected.