Commerzbank’s Dr. Vincent Stamer argues persistent Euro area inflation above 3% and rising core pressures make an European Central Bank (ECB) rate increase unavoidable. He cites firms’ intentions to pass on higher energy costs and elevated consumer inflation expectations.
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil prices remain highly sensitive to shifting US–Iran negotiation headlines, with recent breakdowns in talks boosting prices. They highlight additional risks from Iranian threats in the Bab el‑Mandeb and Russia’s jet fuel export ban.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that the May ISM manufacturing index points to a more restrictive Federal Reserve (Fed) stance and a firmer US Dollar (USD), with the headline index rising to a four-year high.