Pfizer's 6.7% Yield Looks Scary -- but the Dividend Story Is Stronger Than It Seems

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Pfizer is a highly respected pharmaceutical company.

  • The drug maker is dealing with a mismatch between its new drug development and patent expirations.

  • Management is standing behind the dividend, and it has the room to keep paying it for now.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Pfizer ›

The S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has a tiny yield of 1.1%. The average pharmaceutical company's yield is 1.7%. Those comparison points make Pfizer's (NYSE: PFE) 6.7% dividend yield look shockingly large. If you are a dividend investor, is it worth buying Pfizer, or is the risk of a dividend cut too great? The dividend is probably on stronger ground than you think.

Who sets Pfizer's dividend policy?

When you boil it all down, the board of directors decides on a company's dividend policy. It is entirely up to this group. Obviously, they don't work in a vacuum. The board consults with a company's CEO and other top executives before making a dividend decision. So, what management says is often a good indication of what the board is thinking.

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A person using a calculator with a piggy bank in the foreground.

Image source: Getty Images.

In Pfizer's case, management is making a clear statement that its goal is to maintain the dividend. In fact, it stated exactly that on a first-quarter earnings slide titled "Invest to Maximize Post-2028 Growth." The dividend was right there with investing in research and development, launching new products, and making bolt-on acquisitions.

That's not a guarantee that the healthcare giant's dividend won't be cut. But it is a strong indication that the company understands that dividends are important to its shareholders. And that the goal is to support the current payment through what is very clearly a difficult period.

Pfizer has a normal business mismatch

The big issue the company faces is fairly normal for a pharmaceutical company. It has patent expirations coming up that will lead to a revenue reduction, and it doesn't have any new drugs on the horizon to offset the impact. Patent expirations happen on a set schedule, but research and development does not. So timing mismatches like this are fairly commonplace in the drug sector.

Pfizer isn't sitting around hoping for the best. For example, after its own GLP-1 weight-loss drug had to be dropped, it quickly pivoted and bought a company with a more promising GLP-1 candidate. That shows the company is still laser-focused on discovering new drugs in key areas. But it also shows that Pfizer has the capacity to move quickly and strategically when needed.

For example, it has also been creating partnerships. The two most recent agreements are with Chinese companies, one on the GLP-1 side and the other for oncology drugs. All in, Pfizer is doing what it needs to do to deal with upcoming patent expirations.

Pfizer has more time than you may think

Right now, Pfizer's payout ratio is 130%. That's a warning sign for sure, but the payout ratio compares dividends to earnings, and the impact of dividends is actually found on the cash flow statement. Dividends don't come out of earnings. If you compare Pfizer's dividend to its cash flow, using the cash dividend payout ratio, the figure is only a touch over 100%.

Meanwhile, Pfizer's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.7x is actually well below that of its competitor and Wall Street darling, Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), at 1.4x. While Eli Lilly is riding the revenue increases from its wildly successful GLP-1 drugs Mounjaro and Zepbound (in the first quarter of 2026, sales rose 125% and 80%, respectively, for the two drugs), it still looks like there's ample room on Pfizer's balance sheet to lean on debt to help cover the dividend for a little while.

That's not ideal, of course, since it would be better if Pfizer had its own fast-growing new drugs. But it suggests that the dividend may be safer than many investors think. Especially when you consider the corporate moves it is making to get through the likely temporary business headwinds it faces.

Should you buy stock in Pfizer right now?

Before you buy stock in Pfizer, consider this:

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Reuben Gregg Brewer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Eli Lilly and Pfizer. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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