US Dollar Index tumbles below 98.30 ahead of US flash Q1 GDP, PCE inflation data

Source Fxstreet
  • The US Dollar underperforms its major peers ahead of the US key data releases.
  • The US GDP growth is expected to have remained 2.3% YoY in the first quarter this year.
  • Three Fed members dissented from the hold interest rate decision on Wednesday.

The US Dollar (USD) faces intense selling pressure against its major currency peers ahead of the release of the United States (US) preliminary Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for March, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the Japanese Yen.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD -0.32% -0.39% -2.61% -0.19% -0.59% -0.73% -0.84%
EUR 0.32% -0.04% -2.36% 0.14% -0.26% -0.38% -0.49%
GBP 0.39% 0.04% -2.28% 0.17% -0.21% -0.34% -0.45%
JPY 2.61% 2.36% 2.28% 2.58% 2.18% 2.00% 1.90%
CAD 0.19% -0.14% -0.17% -2.58% -0.41% -0.56% -0.65%
AUD 0.59% 0.26% 0.21% -2.18% 0.41% -0.12% -0.23%
NZD 0.73% 0.38% 0.34% -2.00% 0.56% 0.12% -0.11%
CHF 0.84% 0.49% 0.45% -1.90% 0.65% 0.23% 0.11%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

As of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.7% lower at around 98.28. The USD Index opened strongly after the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy on Wednesday.

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is expected to show that the economy grew at an annualized pace of 2.3%, stronger than the previous reading of 0.5%.

The US core PCE inflation – which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – is expected to have accelerated to 3.2% Year-on-Year (YoY) from 3% in February. On a monthly basis, the Fed’s preferred measure is expected to have risen at a moderate pace of 0.3% against the prior release of 0.4%.

Signs of strong US GDP growth and accelerating price pressures would prompt expectations for interest rate hikes by the Fed this year.

On Wednesday, the Fed left interest rates unchanged in the range of 3.50%-3.75%, as expected. However, the decision appeared to be a hawkish hold, as three members of the rate-setting committee dissented from the hold decision and advocated for a move away from the dovish bias, while one member voted for an interest rate cut.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in the press conference, “We [central bank] think the policy rate is in a good place,” while warning that the “economic outlook remains highly uncertain”, and “higher energy prices will push up inflation in the near term”.

 

Economic Indicator

Gross Domestic Product Annualized

The real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized, released quarterly by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, measures the value of the final goods and services produced in the United States in a given period of time. Changes in GDP are the most popular indicator of the nation’s overall economic health. The data is expressed at an annualized rate, which means that the rate has been adjusted to reflect the amount GDP would have changed over a year’s time, had it continued to grow at that specific rate. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Apr 30, 2026 12:30 (Prel)

Frequency: Quarterly

Consensus: 2.3%

Previous: 0.5%

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth on an annualized basis for each quarter. After publishing the first estimate, the BEA revises the data two more times, with the third release representing the final reading. Usually, the first estimate is the main market mover and a positive surprise is seen as a USD-positive development while a disappointing print is likely to weigh on the greenback. Market participants usually dismiss the second and third releases as they are generally not significant enough to meaningfully alter the growth picture.


Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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