US inflation: Producer prices watched with Oil – UBS

UBS economist Paul Donovan notes that US October producer price inflation is expected to show higher prices, led by Oil, with Diesel directly captured in the data unlike in consumer price indices.

Producer prices and policy signals

"Today’s release of US October producer price inflation is expected to show higher prices, with oil leading the way."

"Diesel prices are directly included in this data (they are not in US consumer price numbers)."

"However, there will also be examination of the details to see if there is better evidence of tariff inflation effects fading from the calculation."

"New York Fed President Williams sounded hawkish about inflation overnight."

"It is not clear if this is part of a campaign to make the Federal Reserve sound vigilant on inflation, or whether there is a genuine desire to push the non-oil US economy into recession to offset oil prices."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)