SPX6900 Price Forecast: Triangle breakout chances and rising social chatter signal a bullish outlook

• SPX6900 edges higher above a crucial supply zone, teasing a potential ascending triangle pattern breakout. 
• The social dominance of SPX reaches a three-month high, reflecting renewed interest in the meme coin.
• A bullish bias in derivatives data suggests the possibility of a leverage-driven rally.

Meme coin SPX6900 (SPX) edges higher by over 3% on Wednesday so far to extend the 8.44% gains from the previous day, which could be backed by the rising social chatter around it. The technical outlook maintains a bullish bias as the SPX approaches a breakout from an ascending triangle pattern, accompanied by increased optimism among derivative traders. 

SPX social dominance hits a two-month high

The social dominance of SPX6900 refers to the share of SPX-related discussions in the cryptocurrency media. Santiment’s data indicates that, out of all the crypto media discussions, SPX’s share is 0.913%, a three-month high. 

SPX social dominance. Source: Santiment

As social chatter around the meme coin intensifies, the chances of a hype-driven rally increase. However, investors must remain cautious, as the surge in retail demand has historically served as an exit liquidity for large and early investors. 

Derivatives data signals heightened optimism

CoinGlass’ data shows a 23.53% rise in SPX Open Interest (OI) over the last 24 hours, reaching $148.84 million. An OI spike refers to an increase in buying activity in the derivatives market as traders anticipate further gains in the asset. 

In alignment with the OI surge, the OI-weighted funding rate flips positive to 0.0056%, suggesting a boost in bullish activity. Traders with bullish positions pay the funding rate, if positive, to sellers to balance the swap and spot prices and vice versa.

SPX Derivatives. Source: Coinglass

SPX’s potential triangle breakout eyes $1.74

SPX appreciates by over 4% on the day, building on the 8.44% rise from the previous day. The meme coin trades above the $1.35 supply zone and is close to marking the breakout of an ascending triangle pattern. 

Price action has created an ascending triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, with a support trendline formed by connecting the bottoms on January 21 and July 1, and the $1.35 zone serving as the upper boundary. 

A daily close above the $1.35 zone could propel SPX towards the 78.6% Fibonacci level at $1.56, drawn from the June 11 high of $1.74 to the June 21 low of $0.91. 

The technical indicators display a gradual increase in momentum, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 63, approaching the overbought zone. The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicator displays a rising trend, indicated by green histogram bars and the average lines. 

SPX/USDT daily price chart.

If SPX fails to fix above the $1.35 supply zone, a reversal within the triangle pattern could retest the support trendline near $1.21.