Bitcoin price prediction: Will Trump’s 100-Day speech propel BTC above $100,000? 

출처 Fxstreet
  • Bitcoin price bounces above the $95,490 as markets await Trump’s 100-day speech. 
  • Cryptocurrency-related policies dominated Trump’s but marketsterm;  still await definitive updates on the Bitcoin strategic reserve proposal. 
  • Investors moved BTC worth $4 billion from exchanges since Trump launched controversial calls for rate cuts last week. 

Bitcoin rebounds as high as $95,490 on Monday, as Trump’s 100-day speech dominates macro news. On-chain data shows BTC deposits on exchanges declined by $4 billion in the past week. Here’s how these insights could impact Bitcoin $100,000 breakout prospects in the near-term. 

Bitcoin (BTC) retakes $95K as market awaits Trump’s 100-day speech 

Bitcoin posted strong gains as crypto markets turned cautious ahead of Trump’s 100-day on Monday. Crypto-related policies have featured prominently so far in Trump’s second-term presidency, but markets await clarity on the Bitcoin strategic reserve proposal.

On-chain data shows investors moved over $4 billion in Bitcoin off exchanges since Trump’s controversial call for a rate cut last week.

Bitcoin price action, April 28, 2025 | Source: Coingecko 

Bitcoin price action, April 28, 2025 | Source: Coingecko 

Bitcoin (BTC) rose above $95,490 on Monday as investors reacted to fresh market catalysts on Monday. Bitcoin rose 0.8% over the last 24 hours, reaching $95,490.92, according to CoinGecko data. 

As seen above, BTC traded between $92,953.34 and $95,490.92 during the session. Weekly performance remains positive, with Bitcoin up 8.9% from last Monday and 15.0% higher over the past 30 days.

100-day review: Impact of Trump’s policies on Bitcoin price 

Bitcoin’s rally mirrors gains in U.S. equities, with top technology stocks rising ahead of Trump's speech. Market participants are closely watching for crypto-specific regulatory updates.

A definitive announcement on a Bitcoin strategic reserve could trigger a parabolic move towards $100,000. However, renewed focus on tariffs or aggressive budget cuts could weigh on broader markets and cap Bitcoin’s upside in the short term.

  1. Declining inflation

Since Trump’s inauguration, US inflation has declined steadily. According to TradingEconomics data, inflation has flattened from a 9.1% peak in 2022 to 2.4% in March 2025. Trump has claimed victory over inflation but continues to advocate tariffs, a move economists warn could reignite price pressures.

CME Group FedWatch Tool hits 9% chance of rate cut | Source: CMEGroup

CME Group FedWatch Tool hits 9% chance of rate cut, April 28, 2025 | Source: CMEGroup

In reaction, Trump's recently intensified calls for a rate cut,  threatening to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. While this sparked speculations, CME FedWatch data indicates 90.1% likelihood of another rate pause at the next May 7 FOMC meeting slated for May 7. 

  1. Tariffs overhang on US Stocks drives Bitcoin inflows 

President Trump has consistently expressed support for tariffs, viewing them as a tool to address trade imbalances. His stated intention to "impose across-the-board tariffs on most foreign-made goods" has created uncertainty in U.S. stock markets. 

Magnificent 7 (US Big Tech Stocks) | Source: x.com/InvestingVisual

Magnificent 7 (US Big Tech Stocks) | Source: x.com/InvestingVisual

This uncertainty appears to be benefiting Bitcoin, which is increasingly seen by investors as a safe-haven asset, insulated from geopolitical risks and disruptions to global supply chains. For context, Bitcoin price is currently posting 5.6% year-to-date, while Nasdaq’s S&P 500 and Dow Jones index are down 5% within the same period. 

Bitcoin’s relative resilience positions it to receive more capital inflows if Trump’s policies continue to overheat global TradFi markets in Q2, 2025.

Looking ahead: What’s next for Bitcoin price action this week? 

Geopolitical tensions and market instability during Trump's first 100 days have boosted Bitcoin's appeal as a safe-haven asset. 

With Bitcoin shielded from these geopolitical risks and global supply chain vulnerabilities, its resilience above the $90,000 level signals the potential for continued upward momentum. 

Bitcoin exchange reserves vs. BTC price | Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin exchange reserves vs. BTC price | Source: CryptoQuant

On-chain data reinforces this outlook, with CryptoQuant's exchange reserve charts indicating a significant outflow of Bitcoin from trading platforms.

Investors have withdrawn over $4 billion worth of Bitcoin from exchanges since Trump's recent calls for rate cuts, with total exchange deposits falling from $237.8 billion on April 22 to $233.8 billion at the time of writing. 

With demand triggers still active, the sustained drawdown in available exchange supply strengthens the case for a Bitcoin breakout towards the $100,000 milestone in the near term. 


면책 조항: 정보 제공 목적으로만 사용됩니다. 과거 성과가 미래 결과를 보장하지 않습니다.
placeholder
리플(XRP) 약세 지속: $1.90 지지선 ‘턱걸이’…개인 수요 위축과 파생시장 약화가 부담XRP는 $1.90 지지선 위에서 약세를 이어가며 선물 OI가 $8.36B(10/10)→$3.33B(금요일)로 급감한 가운데 RSI 41·MACD 약세 신호가 부담으로 작용해, $1.90 이탈 시 $1.85와 $1.61까지 하방 리스크가 커진다.
저자  Mitrade팀
12 시간 전
XRP는 $1.90 지지선 위에서 약세를 이어가며 선물 OI가 $8.36B(10/10)→$3.33B(금요일)로 급감한 가운데 RSI 41·MACD 약세 신호가 부담으로 작용해, $1.90 이탈 시 $1.85와 $1.61까지 하방 리스크가 커진다.
placeholder
라보뱅크: 금 $5,000 상회, 은 $100 상회…‘Sell America’ 확산 속 달러 영향력은 여전라보뱅크는 금이 $5,000/oz, 은이 $100/oz를 웃도는 실물자산 강세 속에 ‘Sell America’·탈달러화 담론이 커지고 있지만, 미 국채 수요는 견조하고 SWIFT 기준 달러 결제 비중은 유로를 대체하며 증가하고 있다고 분석했다.
저자  Mitrade팀
12 시간 전
라보뱅크는 금이 $5,000/oz, 은이 $100/oz를 웃도는 실물자산 강세 속에 ‘Sell America’·탈달러화 담론이 커지고 있지만, 미 국채 수요는 견조하고 SWIFT 기준 달러 결제 비중은 유로를 대체하며 증가하고 있다고 분석했다.
placeholder
이더리움 급락: 거시 변수에 민감해진 ETH, 현물 ETF 자금 이탈과 개인 지갑 매도도 겹쳐ETH는 주초 이후 약 12% 하락한 가운데 미국 현물 ETF에서 이번 주 3거래일 연속 합계 $569.4 million이 순유출됐고, 100~10,000 ETH 지갑이 일요일 이후 520,000 ETH를 매도하면서 $2,880 이탈 시 $2,627까지 하방 리스크가 부각된다.
저자  Mitrade팀
12 시간 전
ETH는 주초 이후 약 12% 하락한 가운데 미국 현물 ETF에서 이번 주 3거래일 연속 합계 $569.4 million이 순유출됐고, 100~10,000 ETH 지갑이 일요일 이후 520,000 ETH를 매도하면서 $2,880 이탈 시 $2,627까지 하방 리스크가 부각된다.
placeholder
은값 전망: XAG/USD, $109.46 신고가 찍은 뒤 소폭 되돌림…과열 속에서도 상승 추세는 유지은(XAG/USD)은 월요일 아시아장에서 $109.46 신고가를 경신한 뒤 $108.80으로 되돌렸지만, 상승 채널과 9일·50일 EMA 격차 확대가 추세를 지지하는 가운데 RSI 80.24 과열 부담 속에서 저항 $110.00, 지지 $96.32·$96.00(추가 완충 $74.67)이 단기 분기점으로 주목된다.
저자  Mitrade팀
13 시간 전
은(XAG/USD)은 월요일 아시아장에서 $109.46 신고가를 경신한 뒤 $108.80으로 되돌렸지만, 상승 채널과 9일·50일 EMA 격차 확대가 추세를 지지하는 가운데 RSI 80.24 과열 부담 속에서 저항 $110.00, 지지 $96.32·$96.00(추가 완충 $74.67)이 단기 분기점으로 주목된다.
placeholder
카르다노 전망: ADA 하방 압력 강화, $0.27 재시험 가능성 열려카르다노(ADA)는 OI 감소와 RSI 39·MACD 약세 신호 속에 $0.32 이탈 시 $0.27까지 하방 리스크가 커지는 가운데, 반등 시에는 $0.38 회복 여부가 단기 분기점으로 꼽힌다.
저자  Mitrade팀
13 시간 전
카르다노(ADA)는 OI 감소와 RSI 39·MACD 약세 신호 속에 $0.32 이탈 시 $0.27까지 하방 리스크가 커지는 가운데, 반등 시에는 $0.38 회복 여부가 단기 분기점으로 꼽힌다.
goTop
quote