Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the Dollar Index has retreated from its post-October CPI highs, with the USD rally seen as stretched versus rate differentials. He highlights that stagnant US real wages may cap expectations for a 50bps Fed hike in December.
ING’s Chris Turner notes the Dollar is trading near this year’s highs after another hot US inflation print and hawkish comments from Fed member Chris Waller. ING argues that bearish yield curve flattening typically supports the Dollar versus procyclical currencies.
ING analysts James Knightley, Carsten Brzeski, Padhraic Garvey, Lynn Song and Chris Turner note that the Dollar has softened after the Democratic sweep in US midterms, though losses have been pared with Nasdaq futures stabilizing.