Societe Generale analysts highlight that the Czech National Bank (CNB) is expected to keep its policy rate at 3.50% despite a rise in headline inflation to 2.5% year-on-year in April. Governor Michl has emphasized maintaining positive real rates to support savings.
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Czech National Bank (CNB) to keep rates at 3.50% but sees upside inflation risks from higher energy prices and a growing chance of at least one 25 bp hike later in 2026.
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that Central and Eastern European currencies remain under pressure despite recent gains in the Forint, Zloty and Koruna.