S&P Global vs. Toast: Which Financial Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • S&P Global holds a dominant position in the global credit ratings and financial data market.

  • Toast is expanding rapidly within the restaurant industry through its integrated technology platform.

  • Which of these two different approaches to growth is the better choice for your portfolio?

  • Motley Fool Issues Rare "Total Conviction" Buy Alert ›

Investors often choose between established industry giants and high-growth disruptors. S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) and Toast (NYSE:TOST) represent this classic trade-off, each offering unique strengths in the current market.

S&P Global provides essential benchmarks and credit ratings that underpin global capital markets. Toast offers software and payment solutions specifically designed for the restaurant industry. Comparing them helps identify whether stability or rapid expansion fits you better.

The case for S&P Global

S&P Global operates as a critical infrastructure provider for the world's financial stocks and institutions. The company generates revenue by selling credit ratings, market benchmarks, and data analytics to a wide range of customers. These clients include investment banks, asset managers, and energy producers that rely on its proprietary data for decision-making, giving the firm a deep competitive moat.

In FY 2025, the company reported revenue of nearly $15.3 billion, representing growth of approximately 7.9% over the previous year. This steady expansion supported net income of roughly $4.5 billion, resulting in a net margin of close to 29.2% for the period. This net margin measures the percentage of revenue kept as profit after all expenses, reflecting the company's established market position.

As of its December 2025 balance sheet, the company has a debt-to-equity ratio of nearly 0.5x, meaning its total debt is half its shareholders’ equity. Its current ratio, which measures the ability to cover short-term obligations with current assets, is approximately 0.8x. Free cash flow, calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures, reached close to $5.5 billion in FY 2025, highlighting its ability to generate significant cash after investment.

The case for Toast

Toast focuses on the digital transformation of the hospitality industry by providing a unified platform for restaurant management. The company sells point-of-sale hardware and software that integrates payment processing and financial services for small- and medium-sized businesses. It is also increasingly targeting larger enterprise clients across the restaurant and beverage sectors to drive its next phase of growth.

In FY 2025, revenue reached roughly $6.2 billion, which reflects a significant increase of approximately 24.1% over the prior year. The company achieved net income of nearly $342.0 million and a net margin of approximately 5.6%, marking a transition into sustained profitability. This net margin figure indicates the portion of sales that remains as profit and reflects the company's improving financial health.

As of its December 2025 balance sheet, Toast maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0x, indicating it has no significant debt relative to its equity. Its current ratio is approximately 2.8x, suggesting a strong liquidity position for its daily operations and potential expansion. Free cash flow for FY 2025 was nearly $608.0 million. Note that stock-based compensation accounted for roughly 36.6% of operating cash flow, inflating reported cash generation, as SBC is a non-cash expense added back in the cash flow statement.

Risk profile comparison

S&P Global faces significant cybersecurity risks and relies heavily on third-party technology infrastructure. The company depends on Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) for cloud services, creating an operational dependency that could lead to disruptions. Additionally, its business is sensitive to global market volatility and interest rate changes, which can affect the volume of debt issuance.

Toast deals with risks tied to its concentration in the restaurant industry and the financial health of small businesses. Its revenue is closely linked to payment processing volumes, which can fluctuate based on consumer spending and broader economic trends. The company also operates in an intensely competitive environment where larger software providers may attempt to capture its market share.

Valuation comparison

Toast offers a much lower P/S ratio, measuring sales over the past twelve months, while both companies share a similar Forward P/E using future earnings estimates.

MetricS&P GlobalToast
Forward P/E25.3x22.8x
P/S ratio8.4x2.8x

Valuation metrics include those sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and may differ from those of other data providers.

Which stock would I buy in 2026?

First things first, I really like both of these stocks and will likely be buying them in 2026 and 2027. I am currently building a full position in S&P Global and will be opening a new position in Toast soon, as both stocks have sold off and their valuations have reached much more palatable levels.

That said, while I’m comfortable buying either growth stocks or steady-Eddie compounders, not all investors are interested in both, so a choice between these two companies may largely be up to an individual’s preferences or risk tolerance.

With S&P Global, investors gain access to the company’s leading credit ratings business, which operates in an oligopoly, and to the enduring power of the S&P Dow Jones indexes. After spinning off its mobility unit and considering the separation of its data business (Capital IQ and Kensho), SPGI stock looks set to return to its core credit ratings and indexing focus, while returning boatloads of cash to shareholders through growing dividend payments and buybacks.

Meanwhile, Toast offers investors blistering sales growth, evidenced by the company’s revenue increasing 10-fold since 2019. Over the same period, its operating income margins soared from -34% to 7% in its latest quarter, highlighting its maturation into a true compounder. Now expanding beyond restaurants and fast casual into verticals like hotels, grocery stores, and convenience stores -- while building mission-critical software for day-to-day operations rather than just payment capabilities -- Toast still has plenty of growth ahead of it.

Ultimately, both stocks are great in my opinion. But to put it in baseball terms, buying SPGI may be more of an RBI single, whereas Toast is more of the multibagging, swing-for-the-fences type of investment to consider.

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Josh Kohn-Lindquist has positions in S&P Global. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, S&P Global, and Toast. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2028 $15 calls on Toast. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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