The dollar is pinned near nine-week lows even after a blockbuster jobs report, as an oil spike toward $100, a surging yen and China's reflation data crowd the driver's seat. Five key events to watch today: Brent at $99.46, USD/JPY at 154, China CPI/PPI, PBOC gold buying, and Thursday's PPI / Friday's CPI ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC.

The Australian dollar has risen for four straight sessions toward 0.72 even after August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations and pushed September Fed-hike odds to 58.4%. A thin, holiday-thinned dollar is the short-term driver; Westpac confidence and RBA speakers today, US PPI/CPI this week and the Sept 15-16 FOMC will decide whether the rally holds.

The USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.

USD/JPY has tumbled from the 160 area to a one-month low near 155.2 in two sessions as Bank of Japan hike bets for the Sept 17-18 meeting intensify. AUD/JPY has broken below 112.7, flagging carry-trade stress. A test of 155.21 - and then 153 - is now in focus.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, regains positive traction on Tuesday and climbs back above the mid-99.00s during the first half of the European session.

August nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.

Tracking Market TrendsTradingKey - On August 28, Eastern Time, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower across the board. Remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh at the Jackson Hole symposium

On August 27, Eastern Time, the three major U.S. stock indices closed higher across the board, led by the Nasdaq. Nvidia's strong earnings report and optimistic reve

On August 26, Eastern Time, the three major U.S. stock indices closed slightly lower. U.S. July PCE inflation data came in slightly strong, reinforcing market concer

Tracking Market TrendsTradingKey - On August 21 Eastern Time, the three major U.S. stock indices closed higher across the board, but still recorded losses for the week. After experiencing volatility i

Silver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.

Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.

As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around

International oil prices continued to advance rapidly this week. On Thursday Eastern Time, WTI crude (USOIL) broke through the $100/barrel mark, closing at $103.94, up 7.51%; Brent crude

Brent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.

A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.

Tracking Market TrendsTradingKey - The three major U.S. stock indices rose across the board last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.98%, the Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 0.96%, a

US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.

Tracking Market TrendsTradingKey - On September 10 Eastern Time, the three major US stock indices fell for the fourth consecutive trading day. US August PPI showed upstream price pressures continued t

On Friday, September 11 (ET), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, the final major inflation report before the Federal Reserve's Sep

Over 140,000 traders liquidated in crypto market as BTC drops for fourth straight day to test $78,000 level; altcoins crash.On September 10, the cryptocurrency market experienced a new ro

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) extend their weekly gains on Friday as traders await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for the next directional catalyst.

Fed Chair Warsh Makes Jackson Hole Debut: Can Bitcoin Capitalize on Momentum to Break Strong $83,000 Resistance?On August 28, Bitcoin (BTC) price continued to fluctuate in a narrow range

Ethereum (ETH) treasury company BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) expanded its digital asset holdings last week with another round of acquisitions.

On August 24, Bitcoin (BTC) prices continued to fluctuate lower, edging up just 0.1% on the day to trade at $77,176. Last Friday (August 21), Bitcoin prices surged toward the $80,000 mark