The EUR/USD pair extends the decline near 1.1170 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by risk-off sentiment. Markets might turn cautious later in the day ahead of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decisions later this week.

The AUD/USD pair trades with a positive bias for the fourth straight day, holding steady above the 0.7000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Wednesday and flirting with the monthly high it touched the previous day.

The dollar index closed at 101.99 (+0.20%) on Monday after briefly topping 102.07, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% and the 2-year hit 4.774% — yet futures price only about a 17% chance of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, versus roughly 90% for December. The driver is a global bond selloff, not a Fed repricing: France's 10-year OAT jumped to 4.84% ~ 4.94% and the OAT-Bund spread widened to 140 ~ 146bp. Here are the levels, the cross-asset read-through and what to watch.

USD/JPY traded around 158.5 on Tuesday after Monday's 158.60 close — the highest since September 24 — as Tokyo reopened and the market re-focused on two dates dominating the yen calendar: the G20 finance ministers' meeting in Bangkok on October 15 and the Bank of Japan's October 30 decision. Here are the three forces leaning on the yen, the positioning picture, and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.

EUR/USD touched 1.1162 on 5 October, its weakest level in 17 months, as France's budget standoff pushed the 10-year OAT above 5% and the OAT-Bund spread to roughly 160bp — the widest since the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis. The euro now trades near 1.1215 ahead of US jobless claims and a $22 billion 30-year Treasury auction. Here are the levels and the two scenarios to watch.

Alphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.

The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.

Meta reported record third-quarter revenue of $64.60 billion, up 26% from a year earlier, and raised full-year 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $135-145 billion from $130-145 billion. To fund that build-out without touching Mark Zuckerberg's voting control, the company announced a 2-for-1 stock split that hands every Class A holder a new non-voting Class C share. Here are the four lines that matter, the peer group that is being re-rated alongside it, and the bull and bear cases.

the three major U.S. stock indices all closed higher. SpaceX (SPCX) beat expectations with its third-quarter earnings, an

The Dow closed 529.85 points higher at 52,495.88 (+1.02%) and the VIX fell 6.13% to 17.31, but the two stocks that carry the AI trade moved the other way after Tuesday's close: Netflix slipped to $64.74 (-5.8%) after guiding Q4 EPS of $0.67, below the street, while SpaceX jumped about 8% to near $160 on its first profit as a public company and revenue up 161%. Netflix is now below its 52-week low of $65.08. Here are the numbers, the $65 / $70 levels and the two catalysts that matter this week.

Spot gold closed at $3,995.6 on October 23, down about 4.1% for the week and at its lowest since mid-July, and traded near $3,988 on October 26 even as Brent crude settled at $116.72 and Middle East supply risk stayed elevated. The war premium stopped working because oil is now the inflation trade: December Fed hike odds are 68.9% and the 10-year yield is 4.988%. Here are the three numbers, the transmission chain, and the July low at $3,943 that decides whether this is a bottom or a bigger correction.

Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 26, 2026. Read on for the details.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price declines after registering over 4% gains in the previous trading day, hovering around $101.10 during Asian hours on Monday.

As of the Asian session on October 23, gold prices (XAUUSD) continued Thursday's decline, dipping below the $4,000 mark during intraday trading to hit a low of $3,986.54. On Thursday, gol

Brent's December contract settled at $113.17 on October 22, up 4.00% and the highest close since May 4, after Saudi Arabia restricted refined-product shipments. The same session's EIA report showed crude stocks down 3.06 million barrels and gasoline down 2.95 million — but distillates built 1.68 million. That single line decides whether $113 holds: here are the data, the 108.8 / 114.0 / 119.3 levels and the two scenarios.

A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.

US housing starts dropped 5.2% to 1.221 million in September, the second-lowest pace since the 2020 pandemic shutdown, and building permits hit a three-and-a-half-year low of 1.400 million. Both figures are worse than they look because July and August were revised up. With the 10-year Treasury at 5.117% — only 19bp below its October 5 peak of 5.311% — and the NAHB builder confidence index at 2012 levels, here are the three numbers, the transmission chain from rates to permits, and the two scenarios into the October 28 FOMC.

On October 15, US Eastern Time, the U.S. is set to release the September Producer Price Index (PPI). The September CPI released this Wednesday was notably higher than market expectations,

September CPI landed hot: headline 3.7% y/y, core 2.6% y/y and 0.3% m/m. October hike odds jumped from ~22% to ~37% — yet the dollar faded to 101.74, gold closed higher and the S&P 500 fell 1.11%. Here is the full repricing, the levels and what to watch next.

The U.S. will release its September CPI data on Wednesday (October 14) Eastern Time, which will be one of the most important inflation reports ahead of the Federal Reserve's October 27-28

Bitcoin falls below the $80,000 mark as the October FOMC decision approaches, threatening a further dip toward $75,000.On October 26, Bitcoin (BTC) again lost the key psychological mark o

Bitcoin trades near $82,500 (+0.47%) after twice failing at the $88,000 area, forming a potential double top with a neckline at $78,000. A break below the neckline would project a measured target near $68,200; a close back above $88,000 would invalidate the pattern. Here are the structure, the levels and what would confirm either side.

Bitcoin slid to $80,953 on October 13 — then snapped back above $83,000, reclaiming the 81,847–82,305 'golden zone' on spot-led buying as Williams and Waller cooled the Fed's hawkish tone and the dollar pulled back from its 18-month high. But October ETF outflows near $386 million and a fear-and-greed reading of 56 say the repair is unfinished. Here are the levels, the transmission chain and both cases ahead of tonight's US CPI.

Impacted by a slump in South Korean stocks, Bitcoin prices dropped, but subsequently staged a strong rebound to recoup most of their losses.On October 13, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a shar

US government transfers over 10,000 BTC as Bitcoin extends losses to breach $83,000, but a further sharp decline remains unlikely.On October 8, Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent losses, f