USD/CNH: 2-way risks – OCBC

The NDRC press conference appears to run short on details with regards to stimulus measures. USD/CNH was last at 7.0582, OCBC’s FX strategist Christopher Wong notes.

Bullish momentum on daily chart intact

“Hopes were raised but the delivery was disappointing. Post-opening rally in Chinese equities has partially fizzled out as the lack of followthrough is a setback to sentiments, and CNH-sensitive FX, including AUD, KRW, MYR.”

“Near term, USD/CNH should continue to face 2-way risks as markets digest 1/ the disappointment over the lack of details on China stimulus; 2/ monitor daily fix for a sense of how comfortable policymakers may be with RMB’s recent price action; 3/ potential return of US exceptionalism and ahead of US elections (potentially supportive of USD).”

“Bullish momentum on daily chart intact which RSI rose. Support at 7.0320 levels. Resistance at 7.11 (50 DMA).”