The Euro (EUR) is caught between a hawkish but isolated ECB, weaker regional growth prospects, and a US Dollar that is recoupling with interest-rate differentials. BNY, Rabobank, and Societe Generale all flag headwinds for the single currency, though each emphasizes a different transmission channel.
Deutsche Bank’s Chief UK Economist Sanjay Raja notes that the Bank of England kept Bank Rate at 3.75%, matching their expectations. He highlights a more divided MPC on paper but a stronger consensus to hold rates, citing improved data, lower wage and price inflation, and an Iran/US deal.
The USD/JPY pair holds steady above mid-160.00s during the Asian session on Thursday, consolidating its gains registered over the past four days to the highest level since July 2024.