USD/CAD extends its losing streak for the sixth consecutive day, trading around 1.4040 during Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair experienced downward pressure as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) gained strength from a rally in crude oil prices.
Deutsche Bank anticipates around 25–30 policy measures in the Autumn Budget, with modest consolidation and backloaded tax increases. A higher bank surcharge, online marketplace VAT collection and dividend tax hikes are expected to lift receipts by about GBP 4bn by 2031/32. Temporary cost of living and business support will front-load spending, keeping net expenditure only slightly higher than Spring projections.
Lee Hardman at MUFG expects the BoE to start its hiking cycle in November, with stronger UK activity and employment data and firmer inflation supporting this view. Headline CPI rose to 3.5% in September, and MUFG anticipates inflation above 4.0% next year after the energy price cap reset. These developments are seen as favourable for further Pound strength near term.