Vipshop (VIPS) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript

Source Motley_fool
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Date

Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 7 a.m. ET

Call participants

  • Chief Executive Officer — Eric Shen
  • Chief Financial Officer — Mark Wang
  • Head of Investor Relations — Jessie Fan

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Risks

  • Fourth quarter results came in slightly below expectations, primarily due to a deceleration in December sales as customer activity slowed.
  • Management cited weak winter apparel demand alongside delayed holiday shopping due to a later spring festival, causing short-term revenue pressure.
  • Gross profit, operating margin, and net margin each declined on a full-year basis, with gross margin falling to 23.1% from 23.5%, operating margin to 7.7% from 8.5%, and net margin to 6.8% from 7.1% compared to the prior year.
  • Customer growth was under pressure in Q4, with management noting the need to offset a slightly rising return rate in 2026.

Takeaways

  • Total net revenue -- RMB 32.5 billion, reflecting a 2.1% year-over-year decrease due to soft winter apparel demand and a delayed holiday season.
  • Gross margin -- 22.9%, marginally lower versus 23.0% in the prior year period, with management citing ongoing category mix and consumer selectivity.
  • Operating margin -- 8.9%, up from 8.6% year over year, supported by reduced operating expenses as a percentage of revenue.
  • Income from operations -- RMB 2.90 billion, an increase of 1.7% year over year.
  • Net income attributable to Vipshop shareholders -- RMB 2.6 billion, up 5.8% year over year, driving net margin to 8.0% from 7.4% in the prior year period.
  • Non-GAAP net income attributable to Vipshop shareholders -- RMB 2.9 billion, a slight decrease from RMB 3.0 billion in the prior year period, with non-GAAP net margin at 8.8% compared with 9.0% previously.
  • Active SVIP members -- Grew by 11% to 9.8 million, accounting for 52% of online spending in 2025.
  • Annual capital returns -- USD 944 million returned to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases in 2025.
  • Dividend policy for 2026 -- At least 75% of full year 2025 non-GAAP net income to be distributed, with a planned dividend payout of approximately USD 300 million and continued share repurchase activity.
  • AI integration -- Automated customer support managed the majority of product inquiries with a 90% automated resolution rate; AI-driven marketing reduced production costs and increased customer acquisition efficiency.
  • Guidance for Q1 2026 -- Total net revenues expected between RMB 26.3 billion and RMB 27.6 billion, indicating projected year-over-year growth of 0%-5%.
  • Shan Shan Outlets -- Management reported ongoing expansion across geographies, with outlets contributing to both sales and profit growth.
  • “Made for VIP” exclusive product line -- Sales grew over 40% to represent 5% of online apparel sales for the year.
  • Full year revenue -- RMB 105.9 billion, down from RMB 108.4 billion in the prior year, signifying a strategic focus on higher-margin, quality growth.
  • Cash and short-term investments -- RMB 24.1 billion in cash and equivalents plus RMB 5.8 billion in short-term investments at year-end.

Summary

Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS) reported year-over-year declines in both quarterly and full-year revenues, with management attributing top-line softness to adverse apparel demand and macro timing factors. Management confirmed the execution of a substantial annual capital return program, maintaining a long-term policy of distributing a significant portion of non-GAAP earnings. The company emphasized accelerating AI adoption, citing quantifiable improvements in customer service, marketing efficiency, and cross-category engagement. Expansion of the Shan Shan Outlet business was highlighted as a strategic growth lever, with management noting enhanced geographic reach and profitability. Guidance for the upcoming quarter indicates stabilization and recovery in core operations, with a projected return to top-line growth.

  • CEO Shen said, "We have enhanced our capabilities to target and engage user efficiency, which serves as the core foundation of our full life cycle customer strategy."
  • AI-powered virtual try-on features launched at scale, resulting in increased customer repeat engagement, according to management’s cited initial data.
  • Vipshop’s board and management stated intentions to accelerate both offline (Shan Shan Outlet) and online initiatives to address shifting consumer behavior and potential AI-driven industry disruption.

Industry glossary

  • SVIP: Super VIP, a paid premium membership tier on Vipshop’s platforms, offering exclusive benefits and higher levels of loyalty and repeat spending.
  • “Made for VIP”: Vipshop’s exclusive private-label product line, differentiated by limited distribution and higher margin contribution.
  • AIGC: AI-generated content, referring to the automated creation of marketing creatives and product content via advanced artificial intelligence algorithms.

Full Conference Call Transcript

Eric Shen: Good morning, and good evening, everyone. Welcome, and thank you for joining our fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call. This year has been defined by strategic realignment, operating resilience, and a firm commitment to high-quality growth in a dynamic market. While we entered 2025 facing a multi-consumer environment, I'm pleased to report that the agility of our off-price retail model has allowed us to stabilize our top-line performance and continue to deliver robust profitability for the full year. Our fourth quarter results came in slightly below our expectations. This was primarily due to a deceleration in December sales as customer activity slowed.

We attributed it to the weak winter apparel demand alongside delayed holiday shopping due to a later spring festival. While we saw short-term pressure this quarter, our long-term road map remains unchanged. We continue to make solid progress that reinforces our flywheels from merchandising, customer engagement, to operations. In 2025, we implemented a strategic reorganization of our merchandising and customer engagement team to enhance agility and long-term competitiveness by enabling faster decision-making and breaking down internal silo. We have unlocked a strong foundation for long-term growth. Throughout the year, our merchandising strategy centered on 3 pillars: enhancing customer relevance, building differentiation, and deepening category expertise.

Advancing these capabilities has been fundamentally allowed us to consistently and effectively align high-value brand supply with evolving customer demand. We are building a stronger, more connected portfolio of branded products. Last year, our merchandising team further deepened our supply network. This enabled us to acquire more quality deep discount inventory, driving sales growth steadily across our most valuable brands. Leveraging data-driven insights, we are proactively shaping a resilient assortment that wins in growth categories while keeping our supply chains responsive to shifts in customer needs. We are seeing an encouraging early signal of cross-sell from apparel into related categories like mother and baby, childcare, and lifestyle.

We will remain focused on refining these synergies to better serve our customers' diverse needs. Our Made for VIP line has become a key driver of our differentiation, with sales in these exclusive categories growing by over 40% to account for 5% of online apparel sales in 2025. Having successfully built these foundations of scale, we are now in the position to evolve our approach for the next stage of growth. We are streamlining our exclusive products to build a clear identity and drive mind share when customers see an exclusive tech, which should instantly recognize a promise of high value and reliability. This is how we transfer the line into competitive differentiations, reliable courage, on-trend selection, and exceptional value.

Our optimistic buying proactive is another key differentiator, allowing us to select a portfolio of high-demand items from top global and domestic partners. This delivers a compelling value proposition based on quality, price, and style. Combined with dynamic fresh sales and treasure hunt experience, it drives wild customer apparel, full excitement, and encourages repeat visits. We are moving faster to lock in more exclusive low-priced inventory to attract high-value shoppers and deepen the discovery drive of our platform. To enhance customer experience, one team now manages the entire journey from initial brand and acquisitions to value-driven growth and lifelong engagement.

We have enhanced our capabilities to target and engage user efficiency, which serves as the core foundation of our full life cycle customer strategy. Early progress is promising, and we are focused on the sustainable runway ahead to build a more seamless cross-category experience that maximizes lifetime value. The Super VIP program remains the cornerstone of our growth. Active SVIP members sustained double-digit growth for the fourth quarter. For the full year 2025, active SVIPs grew by 11% to 9.8 million, contributing 52% of our online spending. Through exclusive upgrades such as providing sales and family benefits, SVIPs consistently demonstrate significantly higher retention and repeat purchase than those of regular customers.

Their sustained loyalty and spending power provide a reliable revenue stream and increase our apparel to brand partners, seeking high-quality customer access. Turning to the operations. We have enhanced our capabilities to better think merchandise with customer intent, delivering measurable results. We implemented multi-objective optimization in our searching engine, directly improving conversion rate. We also prioritize diversity and freshness in our recommendation engine, which has enriched discovery and drive high browsing frequency and return visits. Look ahead, we are exploring generative search and recommendations to enable more dynamic, interactive, and integrate discovery experience.

Lastly, we have made great strides in deploying AI across our business to drive tangible value with advanced AI applications in searching and recommendations, customer service, and marketing. We have enhanced the customer experience and empowering our brand partners, laying a strong foundation for deeper company-wide integration. Notably, our AI-powered customer service effectively automates routine interactions, improving the overall speed and relevance of customer support. The system now manages the majority of product inquiries and generate personalized recommendations with automated resolutions reach approaching 90%. AI-generated content is now widely used in marketing, driving efficiency and effectiveness, taking our own campaign, for example, by leveraging AIGC to automate creatives and placements. We have reduced production costs while optimize customer acquisition efficiency.

Furthermore, we have used AIGC to generally summarize our customer reviews and product portfolio, helping brand partners boost their sales effectiveness. With its full-scale launch, our AI virtual try-on feature has proven to be an effective driven customer engagement. Initial data confirm its impact on loyalty, showing that engaged customer has a high rate of repeat visits. Our next phase is fundamentally integration of AI, moving beyond stand-alone workflows to embed it within our core operations, making it primary driver of growth and business-wide efficiency. As we're looking back on 2025, we have become a more agile, customer-central and technology-driven organizations.

We have enhanced our leadership in the off-price sector as an indispensable gateway for brand navigation, China shifting consumption landscape, as value shopping become a structural trend. We are uniquely positioned to capture high-value customers and expand our share of wallet through merchandising and supply chain reliability. While the macro environment remains dynamic, our focused strategy and strength execution giving us great confidence in delivering sustainable profitability growth in 2026 and beyond. At this point, let me hand over the call to our CFO, Mark Wang, to go over our financial results.

Mark Wang: Thanks, Eric, and hello, everyone. We concluded 2025 with resilient performance underpinned by solid profitability in a dynamic market. This financial strength stems from our disciplined approach to investing, ensuring the every dollar we deploy advance our core business and builds lasting momentum. Over the past year, we focused on enabling the business with agility, ensuring our investments in merchandising, consumer engagement, and operational upgrades, as well as AI enhancements, directly strengthen our business core. This discipline has translated into quality earnings and is building the foundation for durable competitive advantage. As Eric emphasized, we have seen tangible progress which has repositioned us for sustained momentum.

Our focus remains on stewarding our capital to support its business priorities, ensuring we have both the flexibility and the financial foundation to execute our long-term growth strategy. Turning to capital returns. I'm pleased to confirm that we delivered on our 2025 commitment, returning a total of USD 944 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchase. For 2026, we are maintaining this momentum. Consistent with our prior year's policy, we intend to distribute no less than 75% of our full year 2025 non-GAAP net income attributable to Vipshop's shareholders. This will be executed through an increased annual dividend of approximately USD 300 million as well as the continuation of our share repurchase program.

These actions reflect our confidence in the company's cash-generating capability and our steadfast commitment to shareholder value creation. Now moving to our detailed quarterly financial highlights. Before I get started, I would like to clarify that all financial numbers presented below in renminbi and all the percentage change are year-over-year change, unless otherwise noted. Total net revenues for the fourth quarter of 2025 were RMB 32.5 billion compared with RMB 33.2 billion in the prior year period. Gross profit was RMB 7.4 billion compared with RMB 7.6 billion in the prior year period. Gross margin was 22.9% compared with 23.0% in the prior year period.

Total operating expenses decreased by 3.7% year-over-year to RMB 4.9 billion from RMB 5.1 billion in the prior year period. As a percentage of total net revenues, total operating expenses decreased to 15.0% from 15.2% in the prior year period. Fulfillment expenses decreased by 1.0% year-over-year to RMB 2.4 billion from RMB 2.5 billion in the prior year period. As a percentage of total net revenues, fulfillment expenses were 7.5% compared with 7.4% in the prior year period. Marketing expenses decreased by 6.1% year-over-year to RMB 873.7 million from RMB 903.3 million in the prior year period. As a percentage of total net revenues, Marketing expenses decreased to 2.7% from 2.8% in the prior year period.

Technology and content expenses decreased by 9.3% year-over-year to RMB 425.5 million from RMB 469.2 million in the prior year period. As a percentage of total net revenues, technology and content expenses decreased to 1.3% from 1.4% in the prior year period. General and administrative expenses decreased by 5.2% year-over-year to RMB 1.1 billion from RMB 1.2 billion in the prior year period. As a percentage of total net revenues, general and administrative expenses decreased to 3.5% from 3.6% in the prior year period. Income from operations increased by 1.7% year-over-year to RMB 2.90 billion from RMB 2.85 billion in the prior year period. Operating margin increased to 8.9% from 8.6% in the prior year period.

Non-GAAP income from operations was RMB 3.2 billion compared with RMB 3.4 billion in the prior year period. Non-GAAP operating margin was 10.0% compared with 10.2% in the prior year period. Net income attributable to Vipshop's shareholders increased by 5.8% year-over-year to RMB 2.6 billion from RMB 2.4 billion in the prior year period. Net margin attributable to Vipshop shareholders increased to 8.0% from 7.4% in the prior year period. Net income attributable to Vipshop's shareholders per diluted ADS increased to RMB 5.12 from RMB 4.69 in the prior year period. Non-GAAP net income attributable to Vipshop's shareholders was RMB 2.9 billion compared with RMB 3.0 billion in the prior year period.

Non-GAAP net margin attributable to Vipshop's shareholders was 8.8% compared with 9.0% in the prior year period. Non-GAAP net income attributable to Vipshop's shareholders per diluted ADS was RMB 5.66 compared with RMB 5.70 in the prior year period. As of December 31, 2025, we had cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash of RMB 24.1 billion and short-term investments of RMB 5.8 billion. Now I will briefly walk through the highlights of our full year results. Total net revenues were RMB 105.9 billion compared with RMB 108.4 billion in the prior year. Gross profit was RMB 24.5 billion compared with RMB 25.5 billion in the prior year. Gross margin was 23.1% compared with 23.5% in the prior year.

Income from operations was RMB 8.1 billion compared with RMB 9.2 billion in the prior year. Operating margin was 7.7% compared with 8.5% in the prior year. Non-GAAP income from operations was RMB 9.9 billion compared with RMB 10.7 billion in the prior year. Non-GAAP operating margin was 9.3% compared with 9.9% in the prior year. Net income attributable to Vipshop shareholders was RMB 7.2 billion compared with RMB 7.7 billion in the prior year. Net margin attributable to Vipshop's shareholders was 6.8% compared with 7.1% in the prior year. Net income attributable to Vipshop shareholders per diluted ADS was RMB 14.15 compared with RMB 14.35 in the prior year.

Non-GAAP net income attributable to Vipshop's shareholders was RMB 8.7 billion compared with RMB 9.0 billion in the prior year. Non-GAAP net margin attributable to Vipshop's shareholders was 8.3%, which remained stable as compared with that in the prior year period. Non-GAAP net income attributable to Vipshop shareholders per diluted ADS increased to RMB 17.08 compared with RMB 16.75 in the prior year. Looking forward to the first quarter of 2026, we expect our total net revenues to be between RMB 26.3 billion and RMB 27.6 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 0% to 5%. Please note that this forecast reflects our current and preliminary view of the market and operational conditions, which is subject to change.

With that, I would now like to open the call to Q&A.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] We will now take the first question coming from the line of Ronald Keung from Goldman Sachs.

Ronald Keung: [Foreign Language]

Jessie Fan: Ronald, would you please translate your question into English please? So maybe I'll just translate the question first and then let Eric respond to the question. [Interpreted] So, the first question is about the quarter-to-date business performance, whether the seasonality, especially late spring festival has impacted the business performance and have -- have we seen any recovery in the business? Based on the guidance, it seems like we are accelerating revenue growth a little bit. The second question is about the margin outlook for 2026 because we have seen that margins for 2025 seems to be under a little bit pressure in terms of GP margin and NP margin, whether we have new investments for 2026?

And how do we think about gross margin cost and expenses and NP margin, whether we can stabilize our margin profile.

Eric Shen: [Foreign Language]

Jessie Fan: [Interpreted] So, on the first question regarding the Q1 guidance, let's take a look at the Q4 first. I think our online sales actually took a hit in Q4, especially in December. It was way too warm in China in most regions for people to buy winter clothes. And since Chinese New Year is late this year, nobody was actually in a rush to shop for the holiday. Because of that, apparel didn't nearly as well as our other categories. But as we head into the first quarter, Q1, actually, we have seen consumer activity has clearly picked up, largely driven by New Year shopping.

And if we look at January and February combined, actually, we do see a nice recovery in our core business. So, this has kept us firm on track with our guidance of 0% to 5% top line growth, and we are confident that we can deliver that growth and for Q1 and for the rest of the year. Second on margins, I think our business philosophy has been very consistent. We remain focused on high-quality growth at sustainable profitable growth for the business, especially in a dynamic macro environment today. So, we expect margins will be stable, and we will make every effort to outperform in terms of margins for 2026 and beyond.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Alicia Yap from Citigroup.

Alicis a Yap: [Foreign Language] I have 2 questions. First is that related to the user growth. I think management previously commented that we are hopeful to see the user growth momentum to sustain. So just wondering if management could share with us what is your expectation for the user growth for 2026? And then regarding the demand, how are you seeing the demand for the apparel versus the non-apparel growth? And second question is related to AI. Just wondering, does management believe the overstocked business model that we have for Vipshop, would that be actually more resilient against this Agentic commerce? And with that, will VIP actually invest more resources into growing the offline business such as the Shan Outlet?

Eric Shen: [Foreign Language]

Jessie Fan: [Interpreted] So on the first question about customer growth. Customer growth is definitely our top priority. That's actually the foundation for sales growth and ultimately profitability. In Q4, we had thought we should have maintained the customer growth momentum. But due to expected slowdown in consumer activity, actually, customer growth is a little bit under pressure. We expect customer to regrow for 2026. And we ideally, we should see customer growth is actually faster than sales growth to offset the impact of a slightly rising return rate. So we are definitely going to make every effort to bring customer back to growth track in 2026.

On the second question regarding category preferences, consumers are still, generally speaking, still cautious and selective and value conscious, but they continue to shop across different categories, including discretionary categories. They just need strong reasons to do so. So that's why we focus so much on providing the best value across the shopping carts, including apparel and non-apparel categories. And we are making changes in both categories, especially in standard categories to drive repeat business for our most valuable customers, including SVIP and high-value customers to increase their cross-category purchases for family shopping. Lastly, on AI. definitely, AI is fundamentally transforming many industries, including the e-commerce industry.

And for an off-price retailer like Vipshop, we are definitely adapting to this trend to remain competitive. We believe fundamentally, our business model relies on merchandising on how well we can secure quality deep discount inventory, how well we can provide a best value for customers. We think as long as we make a difference in merchandising and supply chain reliability, we will not be left behind. Of course, the online business is a hypercompetitive business. That's why we look for -- we are constantly looking for opportunities offline, especially with the outlet business, which proves to be a very good business model in terms of stable revenue streams and profitability.

So we are actually expanding our presence for Shan outlets which are doing great in terms of sales and profit contribution. And we expect a mirrored pace of expansion into more cities and regions and geographies. We expect to see continued strong growth in terms of sales, revenue and profit from Shan business. And we expect with a strong offline presence, we will be we will be able to offset any potential challenges from AI.

Operator: There are no further questions at this time. At this time, I would like to turn the conference back to Jessie for any closing remarks.

Jessie Fan: Thank you for taking time to join us today. If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to contact our IR team. We look forward to speaking with you next quarter.

Operator: This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. [Portions of this transcript that are marked [Interpreted] were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]

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