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    Bank of England: The conditions for rate cuts this summer are unfolding – ANZ

    Fonte Fxstreet
    21/02/2024 14:59

    Economists at ANZ Bank currently favour an August cut from the Bank of England (BoE), but the main message is rates will be falling this summer.

    Conditions for UK rate cuts unfold, August favoured

    The conditions for rate cuts from the BoE this summer are unfolding, and we expect sharp falls in inflation as the economy moves through Q2. However, much of the reduction in inflation will be driven by base effects from lower energy and utility prices. The MPC will need to disentangle transient from more permanent signals on inflation. We think wage growth developments will help provide a yardstick for gauging underlying inflation trends. 

    Rather than rushing into rate cuts, we think there is merit in waiting for as much data as possible to be confident that inflation is sustainably on track to meeting the 2% inflation goal. That is why we currently favour an August rate cut over the preceding meeting in June. The August meeting will also be accompanied by the BoE’s updated economic and inflation forecasts.

     

    Isenção de responsabilidade: Apenas para fins informativos. O desempenho passado não é indicativo de resultados futuros.
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    Fonte  Fxstreet
    Australia’s trade surplus narrowed to 7,280M MoM in March versus 10,400M expected and 11,027M in the previous reading, according to the latest Aussie foreign trade data published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Friday.
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    Fonte  Fxstreet
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    Fed’s Kashkari: Threat to rate cuts in 2024 if inflation stallsMinneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari said on Thursday that during the Fed’s meeting last month, he pencilled in two interest rate cuts this year, but if inflation remains low, none may be necessary this year.
    Fonte  Fxstreet
    Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari said on Thursday that during the Fed’s meeting last month, he pencilled in two interest rate cuts this year, but if inflation remains low, none may be necessary this year.
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