USD/CNH: Has a chance to break above 7.2600 – UOB Group

USD is likely to edge higher; any advance is unlikely to break above 7.2600. In the longer run, the level to monitor now is 7.2800; the next resistance above 7.2800 is at 7.3115, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

The next resistance above 7.2800 is at 7.3115

24-HOUR VIEW: “USD rose sharply two days ago. Yesterday, we highlighted that ‘The rapid rise is deep in overbought territory, but there is no sign of a pullback just yet.’ We added, ‘Overall, it appears that USD is likely to trade in a range today, probably between 7.2200 and 7.2500.’ Although USD then traded in a wider range of 7.2137/7.2490, it closed largely unchanged at 7.2415 (-0.03%). Despite trading in a range, there has been a slight increase in momentum. Today, USD could edge higher, but as momentum is not strong, any advance is unlikely to break above 7.2600. The major resistance at 7.2800 is not expected to come into view. Support is at 7.2330, followed by 7.2150.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We have held a positive USD view since late last week. As we tracked the advance, we indicated yesterday (13 Nov, spot at 7.22470) that ‘The level to monitor is 7.2800 and the next resistance above 7.2800 is at 7.3115.’ There is no change in our view. Overall, only a breach of 7.2000 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would mean that the upward pressure has faded.”