US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Falls to near 100.50 despite prevailing bullish bias
- US Dollar Index could find the initial barrier at the nine-day EMA of 100.99.
- The Relative Strength Index at 54.2, indicating positive but not overstretched momentum.
- Primary support rests at the ascending channel's lower boundary, around 100.30.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is extending its losses for the second successive day, trading around 100.60 during the early European hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bullish bias, as the dollar index is remaining within the ascending channel pattern.
The near-term tone stays mildly bullish as DXY holds above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), while facing immediate pressure from the nine-day EMA acting as nearby resistance.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 54.2 hovers just above the neutral line, suggesting positive but not overstretched momentum as the index consolidates between short-term resistance and underlying trend support.
The US Dollar Index may rebound toward the immediate barrier at the nine-day EMA of 100.99. A break above the short-term price average would strengthen the bullish bias and support the dollar index to test the nearly 14-month high of 101.80, which was recorded on June 24, followed by the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 102.30.
On the downside, the primary support lies at the lower boundary of the ascending channel around 100.30, followed by the 50-day EMA at 99.93. Further declines below the channel would cause the bearish emergence and put downward pressure on the US Dollar Index to navigate the region around the four-month low of 97.62, recorded on May 6.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
US Dollar Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.25% | -0.23% | -0.26% | -0.13% | -0.34% | -0.51% | -0.31% | |
| EUR | 0.25% | 0.00% | -0.02% | 0.12% | -0.12% | -0.27% | -0.07% | |
| GBP | 0.23% | -0.01% | -0.04% | 0.10% | -0.15% | -0.28% | -0.08% | |
| JPY | 0.26% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.15% | -0.11% | -0.26% | -0.04% | |
| CAD | 0.13% | -0.12% | -0.10% | -0.15% | -0.27% | -0.39% | -0.18% | |
| AUD | 0.34% | 0.12% | 0.15% | 0.11% | 0.27% | -0.13% | 0.08% | |
| NZD | 0.51% | 0.27% | 0.28% | 0.26% | 0.39% | 0.13% | 0.20% | |
| CHF | 0.31% | 0.07% | 0.08% | 0.04% | 0.18% | -0.08% | -0.20% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
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